Toa Road (TSE:1882) Altman Z-Score: 3.86 (As of Jul. 20, 2026) — 38% Above Median

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TSE:1882 Toa Road Corp TSE:1882
67 GF Score
Price 円1,599.00
GF Value 円1,407.75
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Toa Road Altman Z-Score?

Toa Road TSE:1882 -0.31% 67 Altman Z-Score is 3.86 as of Jul. 20, 2026, which is 38% above its 10-year median of 2.79. GuruFocus rates TSE:1882 with a GF Score™ of 67/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,407.75 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,756 Construction companies, Toa Road ranks better than 77.33% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 3.86 is strong.

Toa Road has a Altman Z-Score of 3.86, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Toa Road's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:1882' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.03   Med: 2.79   Max: 3.95
Current: 3.86

During the past 13 years, Toa Road's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.95. The lowest was 2.03. And the median was 2.79.


Toa Road  (TSE:1882) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Toa Road Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Toa Road Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Toa Road's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Toa Road Altman Z-Score Chart

Toa Road Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.88 3.13 3.41 3.83 3.95

Toa Road Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.41 3.68 3.83 0.00 3.95

TSE:1882 vs PWR, FIX, EME: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Toa Road's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toa Road Altman Z-Score vs Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Toa Road's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toa Road's Altman Z-Score falls into.


TSE:1882
67GF Score
Toa Road Corp TSE:1882
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Toa Road Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Toa Road's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2993+1.4*0.428+3.3*0.0628+0.6*2.2092+1.0*1.3709
=3.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was 円88,501 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円56,296 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円29,812 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円37,876 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 円5,504 Mil.
Interest Expense was 円-54 Mil.
Revenue was 円121,327 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円73,886 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円33,444 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(56296 - 29812)/88501
=0.2993

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=37876/88501
=0.428

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(5504 - -54)/88501
=0.0628

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=73885.933/33444
=2.2092

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=121327/88501
=1.3709

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Toa Road has a Altman Z-Score of 3.86 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 3.86 mean?
Toa Road (TSE:1882) has a Altman Z-Score of 3.86 as of Jul. 20, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Toa Road and its competitors. This is 38% above median its historical median of 2.79. Over the past decade, Toa Road's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.03 to 3.95. According to the industry distribution chart, Toa Road ranks #398 out of 1756 companies in the Construction industry, placing it in the top 22.7%.
Is Toa Road's Altman Z-Score too high?
Toa Road's current Altman Z-Score of 3.86 is 38% above median its 10-year median of 2.79. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.03 to a high of 3.95. The Construction industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.31. Toa Road's value of 3.86 is 67.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Toa Road ranks #398 out of 1756 companies in the Construction industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Toa Road has a GF Score™ of 67/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Toa Road's Altman Z-Score compare to PWR and FIX?
According to the Construction industry distribution chart, Toa Road ranks #398 out of 1756 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Toa Road in the top 23% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.31. Toa Road's value of 3.86 is 67.1% above this benchmark. Historically, Toa Road's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.03 to 3.95 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.79 vs. the industry median of 2.31, Toa Road has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Construction company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Construction companies is 2.31, based on 1,756 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Toa Road's current Altman Z-Score of 3.86 is 67.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Toa Road and its competitors. For the Construction industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.31 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Toa Road's current Altman Z-Score is 3.86, which is 38% above median its own 10-year median of 2.79. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Toa Road stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toa Road (TSE:1882) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,407.75, compared to a current price of 円1,599.00 — trading 13.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 3.86, which is 38% above median its 10-year median of 2.79 and 67.1% above the Construction industry median of 2.31. Toa Road's overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Toa Road (TSE:1882), the current Altman Z-Score is 3.86 as of Jul. 20, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Toa Road (TSE:1882) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toa Road stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円1,599.00 is trading 13.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,407.75. GuruFocus considers Toa Road to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:1882:

  • Altman Z-Score: 3.86 (38% above median its 10-year median of 2.79)
  • GF Value™: 円1,407.75 vs. price of 円1,599.00 (13.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 67/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 67.1% above the Construction median (#398 of 1756)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:1882 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Toa Road Business Description

Address 7-3-7 Roppongi, Tokyo, Minato City, JPN, 106-0032
Toa Road Corp provides construction services. It is focused on constructing road networks and transportation infrastructure including expressways and national roads. The company also develops and sells asphalt products and provides environmental solutions and consultancy services like road maintenance plans that integrate pavement maintenance techniques with asset management.
67GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:1882

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,599.00
Price
円1,407.75
GF Value