ETS Group Co (TSE:253A) Altman Z-Score: 2.83 (As of Jul. 15, 2026) — 14% Below Median

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TSE:253A ETS Group Co Ltd TSE:253A
77 GF Score
Price 円1,126.00
GF Value 円1,008.95
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is ETS Group Co Altman Z-Score?

ETS Group Co TSE:253A +1.90% 77 Altman Z-Score is 2.83 as of Jul. 15, 2026, which is 14% below its 10-year median of 3.28. GuruFocus rates TSE:253A with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,008.95 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,755 Construction companies, ETS Group Co ranks better than 60.68% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.82 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

ETS Group Co has a Altman Z-Score of 2.83, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that ETS Group Co is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for ETS Group Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:253A' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.23   Med: 3.28   Max: 4.57
Current: 2.82

During the past 13 years, ETS Group Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 4.57. The lowest was 2.23. And the median was 3.28.


ETS Group Co  (TSE:253A) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


ETS Group Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms


ETS Group Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for ETS Group Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

ETS Group Co Altman Z-Score Chart

ETS Group Co Annual Data
Trend Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.61 3.26 2.45 2.62 2.73

ETS Group Co Semi-Annual Data
Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.62 2.37 2.23 2.73 0.00

TSE:253A vs PWR, FIX, EME: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, ETS Group Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ETS Group Co Altman Z-Score vs Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, ETS Group Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ETS Group Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.


TSE:253A
77GF Score
ETS Group Co Ltd TSE:253A
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

ETS Group Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

ETS Group Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2805+1.4*0.2007+3.3*0.0777+0.6*1.2312+1.0*1.2149
=2.83

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2025:
Total Assets was 円9,269 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円6,894 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円4,294 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円1,860 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 円689 Mil.
Interest Expense was 円-31 Mil.
Revenue was 円11,261 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円7,171 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円5,825 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(6894.089 - 4293.648)/9269.33
=0.2805

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=1860.319/9269.33
=0.2007

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(689.441 - -30.793)/9269.33
=0.0777

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=7171.384/5824.598
=1.2312

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=11261.177/9269.33
=1.2149

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

ETS Group Co has a Altman Z-Score of 2.83 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 2.83 mean?
ETS Group Co (TSE:253A) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.83 as of Jul. 15, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on ETS Group Co and its competitors. This is 14% below median its historical median of 3.28. Over the past decade, ETS Group Co's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.23 to 4.57. According to the industry distribution chart, ETS Group Co ranks #690 out of 1755 companies in the Construction industry, placing it in the top 39.3%.
Is ETS Group Co's Altman Z-Score too high?
ETS Group Co's current Altman Z-Score of 2.83 is 14% below median its 10-year median of 3.28. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.23 to a high of 4.57. The Construction industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.33. ETS Group Co's value of 2.83 is 21.5% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, ETS Group Co ranks #690 out of 1755 companies in the Construction industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, ETS Group Co has a GF Score™ of 77/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does ETS Group Co's Altman Z-Score compare to PWR and FIX?
According to the Construction industry distribution chart, ETS Group Co ranks #690 out of 1755 companies for Altman Z-Score. This puts ETS Group Co in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.33. ETS Group Co's value of 2.83 is 21.5% above this benchmark. Historically, ETS Group Co's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.23 to 4.57 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 3.28 vs. the industry median of 2.33, ETS Group Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Construction company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Construction companies is 2.33, based on 1,755 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. ETS Group Co's current Altman Z-Score of 2.83 is 21.5% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on ETS Group Co and its competitors. For the Construction industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.33 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. ETS Group Co's current Altman Z-Score is 2.83, which is 14% below median its own 10-year median of 3.28. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is ETS Group Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ETS Group Co (TSE:253A) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,008.95, compared to a current price of 円1,126.00 — trading 11.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 2.83, which is 14% below median its 10-year median of 3.28 and 21.5% above the Construction industry median of 2.33. ETS Group Co's overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For ETS Group Co (TSE:253A), the current Altman Z-Score is 2.83 as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is ETS Group Co (TSE:253A) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ETS Group Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円1,126.00 is trading 11.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,008.95. GuruFocus considers ETS Group Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:253A:

  • Altman Z-Score: 2.83 (14% below median its 10-year median of 3.28)
  • GF Value™: 円1,008.95 vs. price of 円1,126.00 (11.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 77/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 21.5% above the Construction median (#690 of 1755)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:253A stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


ETS Group Co Business Description

Address 1-10-13 Minamiikebukuro, Toshima - ku, Tokyo, JPN, 171-0022
ETS Group Co Ltd is engaged in the operation of group companies that operate electrical construction business and building management and cleaning services, etc.
77GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:253A

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,126.00
Price
円1,008.95
GF Value