Tsukuruba (TSE:2978) Altman Z-Score: 1.86 (As of Jul. 13, 2026) — 59% Below Median


TSE:2978 Tsukuruba Inc TSE:2978
55 GF Score
Price 円344.00
GF Value 円1,795.14
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Tsukuruba Altman Z-Score?

Tsukuruba TSE:2978 +1.47% 55 Altman Z-Score is 1.86 as of Jul. 13, 2026, which is 59% below its 10-year median of 4.58. GuruFocus rates TSE:2978 with a GF Score™ of 55/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,795.14 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,734 Real Estate companies, Tsukuruba ranks better than 61.88% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.68 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Tsukuruba has a Altman Z-Score of 1.86, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Tsukuruba is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tsukuruba's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:2978' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.68   Med: 4.58   Max: 30.36
Current: 1.68

During the past 9 years, Tsukuruba's highest Altman Z-Score was 30.36. The lowest was 1.68. And the median was 4.58.


Tsukuruba  (TSE:2978) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Tsukuruba Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Tsukuruba Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Tsukuruba's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Tsukuruba Altman Z-Score Chart

Tsukuruba Annual Data
Trend Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23 Jul24 Jul25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only 3.77 2.66 6.36 4.69 2.55

Tsukuruba Quarterly Data
Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Jan26 Apr26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.97 2.84 2.55 1.83 0.00

TSE:2978 vs CBRE, BEKE, JLL: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Tsukuruba's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tsukuruba Altman Z-Score vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Tsukuruba's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tsukuruba's Altman Z-Score falls into.


TSE:2978
55GF Score
Tsukuruba Inc TSE:2978
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Tsukuruba Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Tsukuruba's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2962+1.4*0.0095+3.3*0.0243+0.6*0.728+1.0*0.9742
=1.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2026:
Total Assets was 円7,580 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円7,205 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円4,959 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円72 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -31.166 + 0 + 87.697 + 71.378 = 円128 Mil.
Interest Expense was -26.79 + 0 + -16.825 + -13.001 = 円-57 Mil.
Revenue was 2661.143 + 0 + 2315.231 + 2408.191 = 円7,385 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円4,033 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円5,539 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(7204.681 - 4959.432)/7580.132
=0.2962

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=72.065/7580.132
=0.0095

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(127.909 - -56.616)/7580.132
=0.0243

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=4032.537/5539.239
=0.728

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=7384.565/7580.132
=0.9742

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Tsukuruba has a Altman Z-Score of 1.86 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 1.86 mean?
Tsukuruba (TSE:2978) has a Altman Z-Score of 1.86 as of Jul. 13, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Tsukuruba and its competitors. This is 59% below median its historical median of 4.58. Over the past decade, Tsukuruba's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.68 to 30.36. According to the industry distribution chart, Tsukuruba ranks #661 out of 1734 companies in the Real Estate industry, placing it in the top 38.1%.
Is Tsukuruba's Altman Z-Score too high?
Tsukuruba's current Altman Z-Score of 1.86 is 59% below median its 10-year median of 4.58. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.68 to a high of 30.36. The Real Estate industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.31. Tsukuruba's value of 1.86 is 42% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Tsukuruba ranks #661 out of 1734 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Tsukuruba has a GF Score™ of 55/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Tsukuruba's Altman Z-Score compare to CBRE and BEKE?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, Tsukuruba ranks #661 out of 1734 companies for Altman Z-Score. This puts Tsukuruba in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.31. Tsukuruba's value of 1.86 is 42% above this benchmark. Historically, Tsukuruba's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.68 to 30.36 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 4.58 vs. the industry median of 1.31, Tsukuruba has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Real Estate company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Real Estate companies is 1.31, based on 1,734 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Tsukuruba's current Altman Z-Score of 1.86 is 42% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Tsukuruba and its competitors. For the Real Estate industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 1.31 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Tsukuruba's current Altman Z-Score is 1.86, which is 59% below median its own 10-year median of 4.58. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Tsukuruba stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tsukuruba (TSE:2978) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,795.14, compared to a current price of 円344.00 — trading 80.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 1.86, which is 59% below median its 10-year median of 4.58 and 42% above the Real Estate industry median of 1.31. Tsukuruba's overall GF Score™ is 55/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Tsukuruba (TSE:2978), the current Altman Z-Score is 1.86 as of Jul. 13, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Tsukuruba (TSE:2978) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tsukuruba stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円344.00 is trading 80.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,795.14. GuruFocus considers Tsukuruba to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for TSE:2978:

  • Altman Z-Score: 1.86 (59% below median its 10-year median of 4.58)
  • GF Value™: 円1,795.14 vs. price of 円344.00 (80.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 55/100 with 8 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 42% above the Real Estate median (#661 of 1734)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:2978 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Tsukuruba Business Description

Address 1-1-5 Kamimeguro, 2nd Ikura Building, 2nd Floor, Meguro-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 153-0051
Tsukuruba Inc operates as a distribution platform "cowcamo" for renovation housing utilizing information technology.
55GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:2978

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円344.00
Price
円1,795.14
GF Value