Creal (TSE:2998) Altman Z-Score: 1.90 (As of Jul. 15, 2026) — 18% Above Median

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TSE:2998 Creal Inc TSE:2998
70 GF Score
Price 円544.00
GF Value 円1,088.33
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Creal Altman Z-Score?

Creal TSE:2998 -0.18% 70 Altman Z-Score is 1.90 as of Jul. 15, 2026, which is 18% above its 10-year median of 1.61. GuruFocus rates TSE:2998 with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,088.33 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 647 Asset Management companies, Creal ranks worse than 64.91% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.9 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Creal has a Altman Z-Score of 1.90, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Creal is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Creal's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:2998' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.95   Med: 1.61   Max: 2.01
Current: 1.9

During the past 7 years, Creal's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.01. The lowest was 0.95. And the median was 1.61.


Creal  (TSE:2998) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Creal Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Creal Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Creal's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Creal Altman Z-Score Chart

Creal Annual Data
Trend Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.00 1.85 1.37 1.11 2.01

Creal Quarterly Data
Mar20 Mar21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.11 1.30 1.19 1.53 2.01

TSE:2998 vs BLK, BX, KKR: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Asset Management subindustry, Creal's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Creal Altman Z-Score vs Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Creal's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Creal's Altman Z-Score falls into.


TSE:2998
70GF Score
Creal Inc TSE:2998
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Creal Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Creal's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2885+1.4*0.1011+3.3*0.0631+0.6*0.5916+1.0*0.8539
=1.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was 円44,262 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円41,564 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円28,796 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円4,476 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 863.991 + 1073.735 + 454.243 + 259.646 = 円2,652 Mil.
Interest Expense was -42.035 + -47.521 + -26.581 + -26.128 = 円-142 Mil.
Revenue was 8210.19 + 12790.475 + 6724.918 + 10069.457 = 円37,795 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円19,396 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円32,788 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(41564.405 - 28796.179)/44262.311
=0.2885

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=4476.23/44262.311
=0.1011

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(2651.615 - -142.265)/44262.311
=0.0631

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=19396.353/32788.22
=0.5916

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=37795.04/44262.311
=0.8539

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Creal has a Altman Z-Score of 1.90 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 1.90 mean?
Creal (TSE:2998) has a Altman Z-Score of 1.90 as of Jul. 15, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Creal and its competitors. This is 18% above median its historical median of 1.61. Over the past decade, Creal's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.95 to 2.01. According to the industry distribution chart, Creal ranks #420 out of 647 companies in the Asset Management industry, placing it in the top 64.9%.
Is Creal's Altman Z-Score too high?
Creal's current Altman Z-Score of 1.90 is 18% above median its 10-year median of 1.61. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.95 to a high of 2.01. The Asset Management industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.60. Creal's value of 1.90 is 47.2% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Creal ranks #420 out of 647 companies in the Asset Management industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Creal has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Creal's Altman Z-Score compare to BLK and BX?
According to the Asset Management industry distribution chart, Creal ranks #420 out of 647 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Creal in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.60. Creal's value of 1.90 is 47.2% below this benchmark. Historically, Creal's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.95 to 2.01 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.61 vs. the industry median of 3.60, Creal has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for an Asset Management company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Asset Management companies is 3.60, based on 647 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Creal's current Altman Z-Score of 1.90 is 47.2% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Creal and its competitors. For the Asset Management industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 3.60 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Creal's current Altman Z-Score is 1.90, which is 18% above median its own 10-year median of 1.61. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Creal stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Creal (TSE:2998) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,088.33, compared to a current price of 円544.00 — trading 50% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 1.90, which is 18% above median its 10-year median of 1.61 and 47.2% below the Asset Management industry median of 3.60. Creal's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Creal (TSE:2998), the current Altman Z-Score is 1.90 as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Creal (TSE:2998) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Creal stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円544.00 is trading 50% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,088.33. GuruFocus considers Creal to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for TSE:2998:

  • Altman Z-Score: 1.90 (18% above median its 10-year median of 1.61)
  • GF Value™: 円1,088.33 vs. price of 円544.00 (50% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 47.2% below the Asset Management median (#420 of 647)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:2998 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Creal Business Description

Address 12-11 Shinbashi 2-chome, 8th floor, Shinbashi 27MT Building, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 105-0004
Creal Inc is engaged in Asset management platform business, Real estate fund online market CREAL, Real estate investment management service for individuals CREAL PB, and Asset management service for institutional investors and the ultra-high net worth individuals CREAL PRO.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:2998

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円544.00
Price
円1,088.33
GF Value