Takeda Pharmaceutical CoTSE:4502 -0.10%65 Altman Z-Score is 0.98 as of Jul. 01, 2026, which is 8% below its 10-year median of 1.06. GuruFocus rates TSE:4502 with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of 円4,533.43 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 950 Drug Manufacturers companies, Takeda Pharmaceutical Co ranks worse than 80.53% on this metric.
The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Warning Sign:
Altman Z-score of 0.98 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co has a Altman Z-Score of 0.98, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
TSE:4502'
s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.84 Med: 1.06 Max: 2.41
Current: 0.98
During the past 13 years, Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.41. The lowest was 0.84. And the median was 1.06.
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co (TSE:4502) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Altman Z-Score vs Drug Manufacturers Industry
For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Altman Z-Score Calculation
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co (TSE:4502) has a Altman Z-Score of 0.98 as of Jul. 01, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Takeda Pharmaceutical Co and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 1.06. Over the past decade, Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.84 to 2.41. According to the industry distribution chart, Takeda Pharmaceutical Co ranks #765 out of 950 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry, placing it in the top 80.5%.
Is Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's Altman Z-Score too high?
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's current Altman Z-Score of 0.98 is near median its 10-year median of 1.06. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.84 to a high of 2.41. The Drug Manufacturers industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.22. Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's value of 0.98 is 69.5% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Takeda Pharmaceutical Co ranks #765 out of 950 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Takeda Pharmaceutical Co has a GF Score™ of 65/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's Altman Z-Score compare to ZTS and UTHR?
According to the Drug Manufacturers industry distribution chart, Takeda Pharmaceutical Co ranks #765 out of 950 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Takeda Pharmaceutical Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.22. Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's value of 0.98 is 69.5% below this benchmark. Historically, Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.84 to 2.41 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.06 vs. the industry median of 3.22, Takeda Pharmaceutical Co has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Drug Manufacturers company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Drug Manufacturers companies is 3.22, based on 950 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's current Altman Z-Score of 0.98 is 69.5% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Takeda Pharmaceutical Co and its competitors. For the Drug Manufacturers industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 3.22 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's current Altman Z-Score is 0.98, which is near median its own 10-year median of 1.06. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Takeda Pharmaceutical Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Takeda Pharmaceutical Co (TSE:4502) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円4,533.43, compared to a current price of 円5,150.00 — trading 13.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 0.98, which is near median its 10-year median of 1.06 and 69.5% below the Drug Manufacturers industry median of 3.22. Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Takeda Pharmaceutical Co (TSE:4502), the current Altman Z-Score is 0.98 as of Jul. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Takeda Pharmaceutical Co (TSE:4502) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Takeda Pharmaceutical Co stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of 円5,150.00 is trading 13.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円4,533.43.
GuruFocus considers Takeda Pharmaceutical Co to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for TSE:4502:
Altman Z-Score: 0.98 (near median its 10-year median of 1.06)
GF Value™: 円4,533.43 vs. price of 円5,150.00 (13.6% above fair value)
Industry Position: 69.5% below the Drug Manufacturers median (#765 of 950)
No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:4502 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Takeda Pharmaceutical is Japan's largest pharmaceutical company, with revenue of JPY 4.5 trillion in fiscal 2025. The company's five core therapeutic areas are oncology, gastroenterology, neuroscience, rare diseases, and plasma-derived therapies, which account for more than 80% of revenue. Its geographic footprint is well diversified, with about 50% from the US, 10% from Japan, 25% from Europe, and 15% from Canada.
65GF Score
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