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Alpha Co (TSE:4760) Altman Z-Score : 1.97 (As of Mar. 30, 2025)


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What is Alpha Co Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.97 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Alpha Co has a Altman Z-Score of 1.97, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Alpha Co is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alpha Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:4760' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.37   Med: 2.31   Max: 2.82
Current: 1.97

During the past 13 years, Alpha Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.82. The lowest was 1.37. And the median was 2.31.


Alpha Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alpha Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alpha Co Altman Z-Score Chart

Alpha Co Annual Data
Trend Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23 Aug24
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.02 1.70 2.18 1.37 2.01

Alpha Co Quarterly Data
Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.37 1.38 1.72 2.13 2.01

Competitive Comparison of Alpha Co's Altman Z-Score

For the Advertising Agencies subindustry, Alpha Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alpha Co's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Alpha Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alpha Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.


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Alpha Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Alpha Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1112+1.4*0.031+3.3*0.0349+0.6*0.4063+1.0*1.4326
=1.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Aug. 2024:
Total Assets was 円4,275 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円2,416 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円1,941 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円133 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -18.789 + 32.265 + 35.762 + 88.847 = 円138 Mil.
Interest Expense was -2.799 + -2.787 + -2.669 + -2.681 = 円-11 Mil.
Revenue was 1442.472 + 1482.789 + 1491.631 + 1707.465 = 円6,124 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円1,175 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円2,891 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2415.942 - 1940.586)/4274.944
=0.1112

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=132.5/4274.944
=0.031

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(138.085 - -10.936)/4274.944
=0.0349

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=1174.702/2891.442
=0.4063

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=6124.357/4274.944
=1.4326

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Alpha Co has a Altman Z-Score of 1.97 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Alpha Co  (TSE:4760) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Alpha Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Alpha Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Naka-ku Kuwano 709 6, Okayama Prefecture, Okayama, JPN
Alpha Co Ltd is engaged in planning, production, and sales of promotion items. The business of the company includes shopper marketing, store front promotion, and POPGALLERY business.

Alpha Co Headlines

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