HOKKO Chemical Industry Co (TSE:4992) Altman Z-Score: 2.45 (As of Jul. 23, 2026) — 10% Below Median

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TSE:4992 HOKKO Chemical Industry Co Ltd TSE:4992
79 GF Score
Price 円2,002.00
GF Value 円1,233.66
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is HOKKO Chemical Industry Co Altman Z-Score?

HOKKO Chemical Industry Co TSE:4992 +0.81% 79 Altman Z-Score is 2.45 as of Jul. 23, 2026, which is 10% below its 10-year median of 2.73. GuruFocus rates TSE:4992 with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,233.66 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 248 Agriculture companies, HOKKO Chemical Industry Co ranks worse than 54.84% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.42 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

HOKKO Chemical Industry Co has a Altman Z-Score of 2.45, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that HOKKO Chemical Industry Co is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for HOKKO Chemical Industry Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:4992' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.12   Med: 2.73   Max: 3.2
Current: 2.42

During the past 13 years, HOKKO Chemical Industry Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.20. The lowest was 2.12. And the median was 2.73.


HOKKO Chemical Industry Co  (TSE:4992) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


HOKKO Chemical Industry Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms


HOKKO Chemical Industry Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for HOKKO Chemical Industry Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

HOKKO Chemical Industry Co Altman Z-Score Chart

HOKKO Chemical Industry Co Annual Data
Trend Nov16 Nov17 Nov18 Nov19 Nov20 Nov21 Nov22 Nov23 Nov24 Nov25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.90 2.95 2.77 3.04 2.99

HOKKO Chemical Industry Co Quarterly Data
May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.73 2.91 2.99 3.08 2.35

TSE:4992 vs CTVA, CF, MOS: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, HOKKO Chemical Industry Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


HOKKO Chemical Industry Co Altman Z-Score vs Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, HOKKO Chemical Industry Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where HOKKO Chemical Industry Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.


TSE:4992
79GF Score
HOKKO Chemical Industry Co Ltd TSE:4992
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

HOKKO Chemical Industry Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

HOKKO Chemical Industry Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.331+1.4*0.4054+3.3*0.0499+0.6*1.5865+1.0*0.3725
=2.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in May. 2026:
Total Assets was 円93,170 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円52,627 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円21,788 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円37,771 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 0 + 2429 + 334 + 1873 = 円4,636 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + -3 + -3 + -6 = 円-12 Mil.
Revenue was 0 + 16243 + 7547 + 10912 = 円34,702 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円51,612 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円32,532 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(52627 - 21788)/93170
=0.331

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=37771/93170
=0.4054

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(4636 - -12)/93170
=0.0499

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=51611.918/32532
=1.5865

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=34702/93170
=0.3725

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

HOKKO Chemical Industry Co has a Altman Z-Score of 2.45 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 2.45 mean?
HOKKO Chemical Industry Co (TSE:4992) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.45 as of Jul. 23, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on HOKKO Chemical Industry Co and its competitors. This is 10% below median its historical median of 2.73. Over the past decade, HOKKO Chemical Industry Co's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.12 to 3.20. According to the industry distribution chart, HOKKO Chemical Industry Co ranks #136 out of 248 companies in the Agriculture industry, placing it in the top 54.8%.
Is HOKKO Chemical Industry Co's Altman Z-Score too high?
HOKKO Chemical Industry Co's current Altman Z-Score of 2.45 is 10% below median its 10-year median of 2.73. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.12 to a high of 3.20. The Agriculture industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.68. HOKKO Chemical Industry Co's value of 2.45 is 8.6% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, HOKKO Chemical Industry Co ranks #136 out of 248 companies in the Agriculture industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, HOKKO Chemical Industry Co has a GF Score™ of 79/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does HOKKO Chemical Industry Co's Altman Z-Score compare to CTVA and CF?
According to the Agriculture industry distribution chart, HOKKO Chemical Industry Co ranks #136 out of 248 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places HOKKO Chemical Industry Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.68. HOKKO Chemical Industry Co's value of 2.45 is 8.6% below this benchmark. Historically, HOKKO Chemical Industry Co's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.12 to 3.20 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.73 vs. the industry median of 2.68, HOKKO Chemical Industry Co has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for an Agriculture company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Agriculture companies is 2.68, based on 248 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. HOKKO Chemical Industry Co's current Altman Z-Score of 2.45 is 8.6% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on HOKKO Chemical Industry Co and its competitors. For the Agriculture industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.68 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. HOKKO Chemical Industry Co's current Altman Z-Score is 2.45, which is 10% below median its own 10-year median of 2.73. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is HOKKO Chemical Industry Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, HOKKO Chemical Industry Co (TSE:4992) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,233.66, compared to a current price of 円2,002.00 — trading 62.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 2.45, which is 10% below median its 10-year median of 2.73 and 8.6% below the Agriculture industry median of 2.68. HOKKO Chemical Industry Co's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For HOKKO Chemical Industry Co (TSE:4992), the current Altman Z-Score is 2.45 as of Jul. 23, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is HOKKO Chemical Industry Co (TSE:4992) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, HOKKO Chemical Industry Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円2,002.00 is trading 62.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,233.66. GuruFocus considers HOKKO Chemical Industry Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:4992:

  • Altman Z-Score: 2.45 (10% below median its 10-year median of 2.73)
  • GF Value™: 円1,233.66 vs. price of 円2,002.00 (62.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 8.6% below the Agriculture median (#136 of 248)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:4992 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


HOKKO Chemical Industry Co Business Description

Address 1-5-4,Nihonbashi-Honcho, Sumitomo Fudosan Nihonbashi Building, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 103-8341
HOKKO Chemical Industry Co Ltd is engaged in the manufacturing of crop protection products. The company manufactures and sells safe and effective agricultural chemicals to ensure crop protection from seed treatment to harvesting. Its products include insecticides, fungicides, and herbicides for paddy rice, vegetable crops, and fruit orchards. Its Fine Chemicals Products include Organophosphines and those derivatives, Functional Styrenes, Grignard Reagents, Alcohols, those derivatives and others. It also operates in the textile materials business.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:4992

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円2,002.00
Price
円1,233.66
GF Value