Nakayama Steel Works (TSE:5408) Altman Z-Score: 2.73 (As of Jul. 15, 2026) — Near Median

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TSE:5408 Nakayama Steel Works Ltd TSE:5408
67 GF Score
Price 円624.00
GF Value 円623.00
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Nakayama Steel Works Altman Z-Score?

Nakayama Steel Works TSE:5408 +0.16% 67 Altman Z-Score is 2.73 as of Jul. 15, 2026, which is 0% above its 10-year median of 2.72. GuruFocus rates TSE:5408 with a GF Score™ of 67/100 and a GF Value™ of 円623.00 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 608 Steel companies, Nakayama Steel Works ranks better than 56.25% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.73 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Nakayama Steel Works has a Altman Z-Score of 2.73, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Nakayama Steel Works is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nakayama Steel Works's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:5408' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.41   Med: 2.72   Max: 3.3
Current: 2.73

During the past 13 years, Nakayama Steel Works's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.30. The lowest was 2.41. And the median was 2.72.


Nakayama Steel Works  (TSE:5408) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Nakayama Steel Works Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Nakayama Steel Works Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Nakayama Steel Works's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Nakayama Steel Works Altman Z-Score Chart

Nakayama Steel Works Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.61 3.30 3.26 2.80 2.72

Nakayama Steel Works Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.80 2.63 2.91 2.78 2.72

TSE:5408 vs NUE, STLD, RS: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, Nakayama Steel Works's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nakayama Steel Works Altman Z-Score vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Nakayama Steel Works's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nakayama Steel Works's Altman Z-Score falls into.


TSE:5408
67GF Score
Nakayama Steel Works Ltd TSE:5408
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Nakayama Steel Works Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Nakayama Steel Works's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.4194+1.4*0.5039+3.3*0.0235+0.6*0.7827+1.0*0.9733
=2.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was 円152,371 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円92,021 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円28,123 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円76,774 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 878 + -63 + 900 + 1682 = 円3,397 Mil.
Interest Expense was -48 + -46 + -44 + -52 = 円-190 Mil.
Revenue was 38595 + 33109 + 37705 + 38897 = 円148,306 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円33,830 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円43,222 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(92021 - 28123)/152371
=0.4194

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=76774/152371
=0.5039

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(3397 - -190)/152371
=0.0235

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=33830.370/43222
=0.7827

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=148306/152371
=0.9733

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Nakayama Steel Works has a Altman Z-Score of 2.73 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 2.73 mean?
Nakayama Steel Works (TSE:5408) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.73 as of Jul. 15, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Nakayama Steel Works and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 2.72. Over the past decade, Nakayama Steel Works' Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.41 to 3.30. According to the industry distribution chart, Nakayama Steel Works ranks #266 out of 608 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 43.7%.
Is Nakayama Steel Works' Altman Z-Score too high?
Nakayama Steel Works' current Altman Z-Score of 2.73 is near median its 10-year median of 2.72. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.41 to a high of 3.30. The Steel industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.45. Nakayama Steel Works' value of 2.73 is 11.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Nakayama Steel Works ranks #266 out of 608 companies in the Steel industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Nakayama Steel Works has a GF Score™ of 67/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Nakayama Steel Works' Altman Z-Score compare to NUE and STLD?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, Nakayama Steel Works ranks #266 out of 608 companies for Altman Z-Score. This puts Nakayama Steel Works in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.45. Nakayama Steel Works' value of 2.73 is 11.7% above this benchmark. Historically, Nakayama Steel Works' own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.41 to 3.30 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.72 vs. the industry median of 2.45, Nakayama Steel Works has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Steel company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Steel companies is 2.45, based on 608 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Nakayama Steel Works's current Altman Z-Score of 2.73 is 11.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Nakayama Steel Works and its competitors. For the Steel industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.45 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Nakayama Steel Works's current Altman Z-Score is 2.73, which is near median its own 10-year median of 2.72. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Nakayama Steel Works stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nakayama Steel Works (TSE:5408) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円623.00, compared to a current price of 円624.00 — trading 0.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 2.73, which is near median its 10-year median of 2.72 and 11.7% above the Steel industry median of 2.45. Nakayama Steel Works' overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Nakayama Steel Works (TSE:5408), the current Altman Z-Score is 2.73 as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Nakayama Steel Works (TSE:5408) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nakayama Steel Works stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円624.00 is trading 0.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円623.00. GuruFocus considers Nakayama Steel Works to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:5408:

  • Altman Z-Score: 2.73 (near median its 10-year median of 2.72)
  • GF Value™: 円623.00 vs. price of 円624.00 (0.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 67/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 11.7% above the Steel median (#266 of 608)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:5408 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Nakayama Steel Works Business Description

Address 1-1-66 Funa-machi, Funa-machi, Taisho-ku, Osaka-shi, Osaka, JPN, 551-8551
Nakayama Steel Works Ltd is a Japan-based company. The company operates in Steel, Engineering, and Real estate business. Its Steel business includes manufacturing and sale of steel products including coil products, steel sheets, bars and wire products. The company is also engaged in real estate buying, leasing and selling.
67GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:5408

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円624.00
Price
円623.00
GF Value