Kohsai Co (TSE:7878) Altman Z-Score: 2.73 (As of Jul. 06, 2026) — Near Median


TSE:7878 Kohsai Co Ltd TSE:7878
74 GF Score
Price 円1,689.00
GF Value 円1,419.98
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Kohsai Co Altman Z-Score?

Kohsai Co TSE:7878 -5.96% 74 Altman Z-Score is 2.73 as of Jul. 06, 2026, which is 9% above its 10-year median of 2.51. GuruFocus rates TSE:7878 with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,419.98 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,113 Retail - Cyclical companies, Kohsai Co ranks worse than 50.31% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.73 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Kohsai Co has a Altman Z-Score of 2.73, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Kohsai Co is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kohsai Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:7878' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.96   Med: 2.51   Max: 2.89
Current: 2.73

During the past 13 years, Kohsai Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.89. The lowest was 1.96. And the median was 2.51.


Kohsai Co  (TSE:7878) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Kohsai Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Kohsai Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Kohsai Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Kohsai Co Altman Z-Score Chart

Kohsai Co Annual Data
Trend Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25 Jan26
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.17 2.54 2.79 2.58 2.38

Kohsai Co Semi-Annual Data
Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jan24 Jul24 Jan25 Jul25 Jan26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.79 2.48 2.58 1.94 2.38

TSE:7878 vs TPR: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Luxury Goods subindustry, Kohsai Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kohsai Co Altman Z-Score vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Kohsai Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kohsai Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.


TSE:7878
74GF Score
Kohsai Co Ltd TSE:7878
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Kohsai Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Kohsai Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2664+1.4*0.1242+3.3*0.0545+0.6*1.3511+1.0*1.2411
=2.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2026:
Total Assets was 円3,418 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円2,681 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円1,770 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円424 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 円173 Mil.
Interest Expense was 円-14 Mil.
Revenue was 円4,242 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円2,527 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円1,871 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2680.649 - 1770.11)/3417.679
=0.2664

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=424.366/3417.679
=0.1242

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(172.636 - -13.665)/3417.679
=0.0545

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=2527.426/1870.624
=1.3511

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=4241.718/3417.679
=1.2411

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Kohsai Co has a Altman Z-Score of 2.73 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 2.73 mean?
Kohsai Co (TSE:7878) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.73 as of Jul. 06, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Kohsai Co and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 2.51. Over the past decade, Kohsai Co's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.96 to 2.89. According to the industry distribution chart, Kohsai Co ranks #560 out of 1113 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 50.3%.
Is Kohsai Co's Altman Z-Score too high?
Kohsai Co's current Altman Z-Score of 2.73 is near median its 10-year median of 2.51. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.96 to a high of 2.89. The Retail - Cyclical industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.74. Kohsai Co's value of 2.73 is 0.4% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Kohsai Co ranks #560 out of 1113 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Kohsai Co has a GF Score™ of 74/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Kohsai Co's Altman Z-Score compare to TPR?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Kohsai Co ranks #560 out of 1113 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Kohsai Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.74. Kohsai Co's value of 2.73 is 0.4% below this benchmark. Historically, Kohsai Co's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.96 to 2.89 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.51 vs. the industry median of 2.74, Kohsai Co has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Retail - Cyclical company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Retail - Cyclical companies is 2.74, based on 1,113 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Kohsai Co's current Altman Z-Score of 2.73 is 0.4% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Kohsai Co and its competitors. For the Retail - Cyclical industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.74 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Kohsai Co's current Altman Z-Score is 2.73, which is near median its own 10-year median of 2.51. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Kohsai Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kohsai Co (TSE:7878) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,419.98, compared to a current price of 円1,689.00 — trading 18.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 2.73, which is near median its 10-year median of 2.51 and 0.4% below the Retail - Cyclical industry median of 2.74. Kohsai Co's overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Kohsai Co (TSE:7878), the current Altman Z-Score is 2.73 as of Jul. 06, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Kohsai Co (TSE:7878) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kohsai Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円1,689.00 is trading 18.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,419.98. GuruFocus considers Kohsai Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:7878:

  • Altman Z-Score: 2.73 (near median its 10-year median of 2.51)
  • GF Value™: 円1,419.98 vs. price of 円1,689.00 (18.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 74/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 0.4% below the Retail - Cyclical median (#560 of 1113)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:7878 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Kohsai Co Business Description

Other Exchanges 7878:Japan
Address 3049 Ryuji, Yamanashi prefecture, Kai-shi, JPN, 400-0194
Kohsai Co Ltd engages in the jewelry business. The company manufactures and sells of jewelry, metal accessories, and jewelry parts. It also provides property, casualty, and life insurance services. Its products include clasps, rings, pierce/catches, earrings, and pendants, men's cuff, rings and others.
74GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:7878

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,689.00
Price
円1,419.98
GF Value