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Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras (XMAD:XPBRA) Altman Z-Score : 1.42 (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.35 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras has a Altman Z-Score of 1.42, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XMAD:XPBRA' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.42   Med: 0.9   Max: 2.16
Current: 1.35

During the past 13 years, Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.16. The lowest was 0.42. And the median was 0.90.


Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras Altman Z-Score Chart

Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.97 0.73 1.49 1.98 1.52

Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.69 1.52 1.46 1.38 1.35

Competitive Comparison of Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras's Altman Z-Score

For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0107+1.4*0.0325+3.3*0.1371+0.6*0.7233+1.0*0.5025
=1.42

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2024:
Total Assets was €178,253 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €27,680 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €29,592 Mil.
Retained Earnings was €5,788 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 7294.496 + -327.008 + 6395.84 + 7563.416 = €20,927 Mil.
Interest Expense was -849.643 + -883.479 + -917.24 + -854.644 = €-3,505 Mil.
Revenue was 21052.766 + 21800.843 + 21866.56 + 24857.119 = €89,577 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was €81,678 Mil.
Total Liabilities was €112,920 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(27679.621 - 29591.543)/178252.939
=-0.0107

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=5788.024/178252.939
=0.0325

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(20926.744 - -3505.006)/178252.939
=0.1371

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=81677.621/112919.627
=0.7233

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=89577.288/178252.939
=0.5025

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras has a Altman Z-Score of 1.42 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras  (XMAD:XPBRA) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras Business Description

Address
Avenida Republica do Chile, 65, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, BRA, 20031-912
Petrobras is a Brazil-based integrated energy company controlled by the Brazilian government. The company focuses on exploration and production of oil and gas in Brazilian offshore fields. Production in 2023 was 2.8 million barrels of oil equivalent a day (80% oil production), and reserves stood at 10.9 billion boe (85% oil). At end-2023, Petrobras operated 10 refineries in Brazil with capacity of 1.8 million barrels a day and distributes refined products and natural gas throughout Brazil.

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