Estée Lauder (EL) Stock Declines Due to Weak Earnings and Dividend Cut

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Nov 01, 2024
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Shares of Estée Lauder (EL, Financial) faced a notable downturn as the stock price fell by 1.8% today, driven by ongoing challenges in demand performance, particularly in the Asia Pacific region, and a recent reduction in the company's quarterly dividend.

Estée Lauder (EL, Financial) has encountered a series of financial setbacks, as evidenced by the substantial 11% year-over-year decrease in revenue from the Asia Pacific region, now at $944 million. This decline is part of a larger trend, with revenues in the region dropping steadily over the past four fiscal years from $1.33 billion. Consequently, the company's operating earnings have plummeted by 57% from their peak, leading to a cumulative stock decline of 82% over recent years.

Investors were further disheartened by Estée Lauder’s decision to cut its quarterly dividend from $0.66 to $0.35, which significantly reduces shareholder income at a time when the company aims to navigate through its current business challenges. This shift has resulted in a new dividend yield of approximately 2%.

In terms of valuation, Estée Lauder's (EL, Financial) stock appears to be significantly undervalued based on its current trading price of $67.14. The stock exhibits a GF Value of $210.34, indicating a potential upside in valuation. You can view the detailed GF Value analysis by visiting the GF Value page.

Estée Lauder (EL, Financial) maintains a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 119.9, suggesting a valuation close to its 1-year low when compared to historical ranges. Additionally, the company's PB ratio stands at 4.53, which is near its 10-year low. However, caution is advised as financial health indicators reveal weaknesses. The Altman Z-Score is 2.79, placing the company in the grey area, implying some level of financial stress. Coupled with a high dividend payout ratio of 1.02, sustainability concerns persist.

Despite the current challenges, Estée Lauder (EL, Financial) possesses several strong points. The Beneish M-Score of -2.63 suggests the company is unlikely to manipulate financial statements. Moreover, the current dividend yield is close to a 10-year high, which may attract income-focused investors. As the company operates across more than 150 countries and offers a diverse line of prestigious beauty brands, its long-term prospects remain promising if operational efficiencies and market conditions improve.

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I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.