ASTS Secures New Spectrum, Impacting Stock Movement

Author's Avatar
Jan 06, 2025

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS, Financial) experienced a notable uptick in its stock price, rising by 2.38% to $24.54. This positive movement followed the announcement of AST's acquisition of up to 45 MHz of premium lower mid-band spectrum in the U.S. from Ligado Networks, which is expected to enhance its space-based cellular broadband service.

Currently, AST SpaceMobile is known for its low-band spectrum rights that allow standard cellphones to connect directly through its satellites. The newly acquired mid-band spectrum will significantly improve data transfer speeds, potentially reaching up to 120 Mbps, benefiting major partners like AT&T (T) and Verizon (VZ).

The financial commitment for this acquisition involves an upfront payment of $550 million, issuance of 4.7 million penny warrants convertible into AST SpaceMobile Class A shares, and annual payments of $80 million. The conversion of these warrants may incur an additional $47,000 payment and could lead to stock dilution.

The transaction is set to conclude by early 2025. Given the current financial positioning of AST, with $516 million in cash and $200 million in debt, the company might need to increase its debt. This move will elevate its debt-to-cash ratio, impacting the balance sheet dynamics.

From a valuation perspective, AST SpaceMobile (ASTS, Financial) displays a mixed set of financial indicators. The company's price-to-book ratio stands at 13.48, which is relatively high compared to industry medians. Despite a strong Altman Z-Score of 6.75, indicating robust financial strength, ASTS faces significant challenges with a low Piotroski F-Score of 3, suggesting poor business operations. Additionally, the company has continuously reported operating losses over the past three years.

Based on the GF Value, AST SpaceMobile's valuation metrics are currently unavailable, as indicated by the absence of GF Value data. This lack of valuation estimations highlights the speculative nature of the investment, especially for investors focused on fundamental analysis.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.