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Chiasma (Chiasma) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $1.84 (As of Mar21)


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What is Chiasma Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar21, Chiasma's earnings power value is $1.84. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -103.87

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Chiasma Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Chiasma's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Chiasma Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Chiasma Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - 2.70 2.80 2.62

Chiasma Quarterly Data
Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.48 2.20 3.20 2.62 1.84

Competitive Comparison of Chiasma's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Chiasma's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chiasma's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Chiasma's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chiasma's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Chiasma Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Chiasma's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 0.61
DDA 0.18
Operating Margin % -749.76
SGA * 25% 5.33
Tax Rate % 0.15
Maintenance Capex 0.71
Cash and Cash Equivalents 115.03
Short-Term Debt 0.00
Long-Term Debt 0.00
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 62.83

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -749.76%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $0.61 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -749.76%, Average Adjusted SGA = 5.33,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 0.61 * -749.76% +5.33 = $0.78917864 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.15%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $0.78917864 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 0.78917864 * ( 1 - 0.15% ) = $0.7879909261468 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.18 * 0.5 * 0.15% = $0.000134246 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0.7879909261468 + 0.000134246 = $0.7881251721468 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Chiasma's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.71 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Chiasma's current cash and cash equivalent = $115.03 Mil.
Chiasma's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.00 + 0.00 = $0 Mil.
Chiasma's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 62.83 Mil.

Chiasma's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar21 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0.7881251721468 - 0.71)/ 9%+115.03-0 )/62.83
=1.84

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 1.8442939830032-3.76 )/1.8442939830032
= -103.87%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Chiasma  (NAS:CHMA) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Chiasma Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Chiasma's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Chiasma (Chiasma) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
140 Kendrick Street, Building C East, Needham, MA, USA, 02494
Chiasma Inc is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on improving the lives of patients who face challenges associated with existing treatments for rare and serious chronic disease. The US Food and Drug Administration, or the FDA, approved MYCAPSSA for long-term maintenance treatment in acromegaly patients who have responded to and tolerated treatment with octreotide or lanreotide. MYCAPSSA is the first and only oral somatostatin analog, or SSA, approved by the FDA and the first product approved by the FDA utilizing TPE technology. The company is focused on the commercialization of MYCAPSSA for the treatment of patients with acromegaly in the United States and developing and seeking regulatory approval of MYCAPSSA in the European Union.
Executives
Roni Mamluk director CHIASMA, INC., 60WELLS AVENUE, NEWTON MA 02459
David M Stack director THE MEDICINES CO, 8 CAMPUS DRIVE, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Raj Kannan director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O CHIASMA, INC. 460 TOTTEN POND RD, SUITE 530, WALTHAM MA 02451
John F Thero director C/O AMARIN PHARMA, INC., 1430 ROUTE 6, BEDMINSTER NJ 07921
Bard Geesaman director C/O MPM CAPITAL 450 KENDALL STREET CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Todd Foley director THE JOHN HANCOCK TOWER, 200 CLARENDON STREET 54TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
John A Scarlett director C/O GERON CORPORATION, 230 CONSTITUTION DRIVE, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Scott Minick director C/O BIND THERAPEUTICS, INC. 325 VASSAR ST CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Anand Varadan officer: EVP, Chief Commerical Officer C/O CHIASMA, INC., 60 WELLS AVENUE, NEWTON MA 02459
Lee Giguere officer: General Counsel C/O CHIASMA, INC. 460 TOTTEN POND ROAD, SUITE 530 WALTHAM MA 02451
William Ludlam officer: See Remarks C/O CHIASMA, INC. 460 TOTTEN POND ROAD, SUITE 530 WALTHAM MA 02451
Drew Enamait officer: VP, Fin & Admin, PAO C/O CHIASMA, INC. 275 WYMAN STREET, SUITE 250 WALTHAM MA 02451
Mark J. Fitzpatrick officer: President 101 MAIN STREET, SUITE 1850, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
James R Tobin director C/O CURIS INC, 4 MAGUIRE ROAD, LEXINGTON MA 02421
Ansbert Gadicke director THE JOHN HANCOCK TOWER, 200 CLARENDON STREET, 54TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116

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