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Elevate Credit (Elevate Credit) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $0.36 (As of Sep22)


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What is Elevate Credit Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep22, Elevate Credit's earnings power value is $0.36. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Elevate Credit Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Elevate Credit's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Elevate Credit Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Elevate Credit Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - - -6.10 5.47 0.39

Elevate Credit Quarterly Data
Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.15 0.39 0.29 -2.36 0.11

Competitive Comparison of Elevate Credit's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Credit Services subindustry, Elevate Credit's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Elevate Credit's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Credit Services Industry

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, Elevate Credit's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Elevate Credit's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Elevate Credit Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Elevate Credit's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 555.0
DDA 15.5
Operating Margin % 13.49
SGA * 25% 34.2
Tax Rate % 45.13
Maintenance Capex 17.0
Cash and Cash Equivalents 72.6
Short-Term Debt 0.0
Long-Term Debt 576.8
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 31.1

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 13.49%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $555.0 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 13.49%, Average Adjusted SGA = 34.2,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 555.0 * 13.49% +34.2 = $109.0259924 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 45.13%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $109.0259924 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 109.0259924 * ( 1 - 45.13% ) = $59.823652289804 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 15.5 * 0.5 * 45.13% = $3.500160111 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 59.823652289804 + 3.500160111 = $63.323812400804 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Elevate Credit's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $17.0 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Elevate Credit's current cash and cash equivalent = $72.6 Mil.
Elevate Credit's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 576.8 + 0.0 = $576.786 Mil.
Elevate Credit's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 31.1 Mil.

Elevate Credit's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep22 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 63.323812400804 - 17.0)/ 9%+72.6-576.786 )/31.1
=0.36

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 0.35529606174215-1.87 )/0.35529606174215
= -426.32%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Elevate Credit  (NYSE:ELVT) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Elevate Credit Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Elevate Credit's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Elevate Credit (Elevate Credit) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4150 International Plaza, Suite 300, Fort Worth, TX, USA, 76109
Elevate Credit Inc provides online credit solutions. The company provides credit to non-prime consumers, many of whom face reduced credit options and increased financial pressure due to macroeconomic changes over the past few decades. It has one reportable segment, which provides online financial services for subprime credit consumers, which is composed of the company's operations in the United States.
Executives
Bradley R. Strock director C/O ELEVATE CREDIT, INC., 4150 INTERNATIONAL PLAZA, SUITE 300, FORT WORTH TX 76109
Christopher Lutes officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ELEVATE CREDIT INC., 4150 INTERNATIONAL PLAZA, SUITE 300, FORTH WORTH TX 76109
Steven Austin Trussell officer: Chief Financial Officer 4150 INTERNATIONAL PKWY, STE 300, FT. WORTH TX 76109
David Curry Peterson officer: Chief Credit Officer C/O ELEVATE CREDIT, 4150 INTERNATIONAL PLAZA, STE 300, FORT WORTH TX 76109
Scott Greever director, officer: Managing Director, UK C/O ELEVATE CREDIT INC., 4150 INTERNATIONAL PLAZA, SUITE 300, FORTH WORTH TX 76109
Jason Harvison director, officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O ELEVATE CREDIT INC., 4150 INTERNATIONAL PLAZA, SUITE 300, FORTH WORTH TX 76109
Jesse K Bray director 8950 CYPRESS WATERS BOULEVARD, COPPELL TX 75019
Rodriquez Manuel Sanchez director C/O FANNIE MAE, 1100 15TH STREET, NW, WASHINGTON DC 20005
Michael T. Pugh director CARVER BANCORP, INC., 75 WEST 125TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10027
Head Tyler W. K. director C/O ELEVATE CREDIT INC., 4150 INTERNATIONAL PLAZA, SUITE 300, FORTH WORTH TX 76109
Linda Stinson 10 percent owner C/O ELEVATE CREDIT INC., 4150 INTERNATIONAL PLAZA, SUITE 300, FORTH WORTH TX 76109
Tcv Management 2004 Llc 10 percent owner, other: May be part of a 13(g) group 528 RAMONA STREET, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Tcv Member Fund, L.p. 10 percent owner, other: May be part of a 13(g) group 528 RAMONA STREET, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Technology Crossover Management V Llc 10 percent owner, other: May be part of a 13(g) group C/O TECHNOLOGY CROSSOVER VENTURES, 250 MIDDLEFIELD ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Tcv V Lp 10 percent owner, other: May be part of a 13(g) group 528 RAMONA STREET, PALO ALTO CA 94301

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