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Icon Culture Global Co (HKSE:08500) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : HK$-0.99 (As of Dec23)


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What is Icon Culture Global Co Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Icon Culture Global Co's earnings power value is HK$-0.99. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Icon Culture Global Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Icon Culture Global Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Icon Culture Global Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Icon Culture Global Co Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
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Icon Culture Global Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
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Competitive Comparison of Icon Culture Global Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Advertising Agencies subindustry, Icon Culture Global Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Icon Culture Global Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Icon Culture Global Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Icon Culture Global Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Icon Culture Global Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Icon Culture Global Co's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 159.58
DDA 0.00
Operating Margin % -17.52
SGA * 25% 6.09
Tax Rate % 23.29
Maintenance Capex 0.00
Cash and Cash Equivalents 14.95
Short-Term Debt 6.53
Long-Term Debt 0.00
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 180.00

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -17.52%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = HK$159.58 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -17.52%, Average Adjusted SGA = 6.09,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 159.58 * -17.52% +6.09 = HK$-21.8679286 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 23.29%, and "Normalized" EBIT = HK$-21.8679286 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -21.8679286 * ( 1 - 23.29% ) = HK$-16.774778689417 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.00 * 0.5 * 23.29% = HK$0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -16.774778689417 + 0 = HK$-16.774778689417 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Icon Culture Global Co's Average Maintenance CAPEX = HK$0.00 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Icon Culture Global Co's current cash and cash equivalent = HK$14.95 Mil.
Icon Culture Global Co's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.00 + 6.53 = HK$6.533 Mil.
Icon Culture Global Co's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 180.00 Mil.

Icon Culture Global Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -16.774778689417 - 0.00)/ 9%+14.95-6.533 )/180.00
=-0.99

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -0.98872461045784-0.66 )/-0.98872461045784
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Icon Culture Global Co  (HKSE:08500) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Icon Culture Global Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Icon Culture Global Co (HKSE:08500) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 62 Jinsui Road, 29th Floor, Kingold Century, Zhujiang New Town, Tianhe District, Guangzhou Province, CHN
Icon Culture Global Co Ltd is a multimedia advertising and marketing solution service provider in China. The company provides advertising and marketing solutions covering traditional offline media including both OOH and indoor advertising platforms; online media; public relations, marketing campaigns, and other services to its customers that consist of brand owners, state-owned entities in China, advertising agencies, and government authorities. Its integrated multimedia advertising and marketing solution services are focused on the formulation of advertising strategies for its customers and identifying and sourcing the appropriate advertising resources and formats to maximize the effectiveness of its customers' advertisements.
Executives
Chow Eric Tse To 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shining Icon (bvi) Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Cai Xiaoshan 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
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Lau Tung Hei Derek 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Master Connection Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
China Hui Shang Enterpriser Association International Group Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Capital Realm Financial Holdings Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Sense One Limited 2101 Beneficial owner

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