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Plexus (Plexus) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $42.96 (As of Mar24)


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What is Plexus Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, Plexus's earnings power value is $42.96. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -133.42

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Plexus Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Plexus's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Plexus Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Plexus Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.86 30.93 33.68 26.04 40.11

Plexus Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 42.61 42.39 40.11 39.95 -

Competitive Comparison of Plexus's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Electronic Components subindustry, Plexus's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Plexus's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Plexus's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Plexus's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Plexus Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Plexus's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 3,668
DDA 59
Operating Margin % 4.86
SGA * 25% 40
Tax Rate % 12.16
Maintenance Capex 69
Cash and Cash Equivalents 265
Short-Term Debt 246
Long-Term Debt 226
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 28

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 4.86%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $3,668 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 4.86%, Average Adjusted SGA = 40,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 3,668 * 4.86% +40 = $218.45100077 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 12.16%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $218.45100077 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 218.45100077 * ( 1 - 12.16% ) = $191.89282035139 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 59 * 0.5 * 12.16% = $3.598984725 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 191.89282035139 + 3.598984725 = $195.49180507639 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Plexus's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $69 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Plexus's current cash and cash equivalent = $265 Mil.
Plexus's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 226 + 246 = $471.904 Mil.
Plexus's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 28 Mil.

Plexus's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 195.49180507639 - 69)/ 9%+265-471.904 )/28
=42.96

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 42.96064826142-100.28 )/42.96064826142
= -133.42%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Plexus  (NAS:PLXS) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Plexus Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Plexus's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Plexus (Plexus) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Plexus Way, P.O. Box 156, Neenah, WI, USA, 54957
Plexus Corp is a U.S based Electronic Manufacturing Services company that provides a range of services, from conceptualization and design to fulfilling orders and providing sustaining solutions, such as replenishment and refurbishment. The company's segments comprise AMER, APAC,ge and EMEA.
Executives
Todd P. Kelsey officer: Sr VP Global Customer Services 55 JEWELERS PARK DRIVE, NEENAH WI 54956
Frank Zycinski officer: Regional President - EMEA ONE PLEXUS WAY, NEENAH WI 54956
Ronnie Darroch officer: Regional President-Plexus EMEA ONE PLEXUS WAY, NEENAH X1 54956
Jennifer Wuamett director 6501 WILLIAM CANNON DRIVE WEST, AUSTIN TX 78735
Ninivaggi Angelo Michael Jr officer: Vice Pres., General Counsel 55 JEWELERS PARK DRIVE, NEENAH WI 54956
Patrick John Jermain officer: Vice President & CFO ONE PLEXUS WAY, NEENAH WI 54956
Oliver K. Mihm officer: Sr VP-Global Engineering Servs ONE PLEXUS WAY, NEENAH X1 54956
Steven J. Frisch officer: Sr VP Global Eng Services 55 JEWELERS PARK DRIVE, NEENAH WI 54956
Tan Victor (pang Hau) officer: Regional President - APAC ONE PLEXUS WAY, NEENAH WI 54956
Scott Theune officer: Regional President - AMER ONE PLEXUS WAY, NEENAH WI 54956
J Joel Quadracci director QUAD/GRAPHICS, INC., N61 W23044 HARRY'S WAY, SUSSEX WI 53089
Randy J Martinez director HLH BUILDING, 101 WORLD DRIVE, PEACHTREE CITY GA 30269
Michael V Schrock director 5500 WAYZATA BLVD., SUITE 800, GOLDEN VALLEY MN 55416
Dean A Foate director, officer: President and CEO
Stephen P Cortinovis director C/O INSITUFORM TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 17988 EDISON AVENUE, CHESTERFIELD MO 63005

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