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Utz Brands (Utz Brands) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-16.38 (As of Dec23)


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What is Utz Brands Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Utz Brands's earnings power value is $-16.38. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Utz Brands Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Utz Brands's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Utz Brands Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Utz Brands Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - -16.38

Utz Brands Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -17.83 -18.16 -16.56 -16.38

Competitive Comparison of Utz Brands's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Utz Brands's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Utz Brands's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Utz Brands's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Utz Brands's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Utz Brands Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Utz Brands's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,053
DDA 53
Operating Margin % 1.30
SGA * 25% 81
Tax Rate % 119.47
Maintenance Capex 49
Cash and Cash Equivalents 52
Short-Term Debt 44
Long-Term Debt 942
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 81

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 1.30%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,053 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 1.30%, Average Adjusted SGA = 81,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,053 * 1.30% +81 = $94.586748925 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 119.47%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $94.586748925 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 94.586748925 * ( 1 - 119.47% ) = $-18.41320241323 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 53 * 0.5 * 119.47% = $31.654095787 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -18.41320241323 + 31.654095787 = $13.24089337377 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Utz Brands's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $49 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Utz Brands's current cash and cash equivalent = $52 Mil.
Utz Brands's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 942 + 44 = $985.34 Mil.
Utz Brands's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 81 Mil.

Utz Brands's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 13.24089337377 - 49)/ 9%+52-985.34 )/81
=-16.38

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -16.382947611861-18.61 )/-16.382947611861
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Utz Brands  (NYSE:UTZ) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Utz Brands Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Utz Brands's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Utz Brands (Utz Brands) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
900 High Street, Hanover, PA, USA, 17331
Utz Brands Inc is a snack food manufacturing company. It manufactures a diverse portfolio of salty snacks under popular brands including Utz, Zapp's, Golden Flake, Good Health, Boulder Canyon, Hawaiian, TORTIYAHS!, among others. The company's products include potato chips, pretzels, cheese snacks, pork skins, pub/party mixes, and veggie snacks. Its products are distributed nationally and internationally through grocery, mass merchant, club, convenience, drug, and other channels. It operates in the given segment: the manufacturing, distribution, marketing and sale of snack food products.
Executives
Theresa Robbins Shea officer: EVP and General Counsel 900 HIGH STREET, HANOVER PA 17331
Jennifer Bentz officer: EVP, Insights, Innov & Mktg 900 HIGH STREET, HANOVER PA 17331
Dylan Lissette director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 860 WESTMINSTER AVENUE, HANOVER PA 17331
Roger K Deromedi director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman 900 HIGH STREET, HANOVER PA 17331
Chinh Chu 10 percent owner THE BLACKSTONE GROUP, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Cc Collier Holdings, Llc 10 percent owner C/O CC CAPITAL, 200 PARK AVENUE, 58TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10166
Howard A Friedman director, officer: CEO 900 HIGH STREET, HANOVER PA 17331
Chad Whyte officer: EVP, Supply Chain 900 HIGH STREET, HANOVER PA 17331
Pamela J Stewart director 900 HIGH STREET, HANOVER PA 17331
Shannan Redcay officer: EVP, Manufacturing 900 HIGH STREET, HANOVER PA 17331
Cary Devore officer: EVP & CFO 900 HIGH STREET, HANOVER PA 17331
Shane Chambers officer: EVP & Chief Growth Officer 900 HIGH STREET, HANOVER PA 17331
John W Altmeyer director 946 HIGHMEADOW COURT, LANCASTER PA 17601
Antonio F. Fernandez director C/O PINNACLE FOODS INC., 399 JEFFERSON ROAD, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Ajay Kataria officer: EVP, Finance & Accounting 900 HIGH STREET, HANOVER PA 17331