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ProFrac Holding (ProFrac Holding) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.11% (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is ProFrac Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, ProFrac Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.11%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of ProFrac Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services subindustry, ProFrac Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ProFrac Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, ProFrac Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ProFrac Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



ProFrac Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.85

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.11%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


ProFrac Holding  (NAS:ACDC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


ProFrac Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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ProFrac Holding (ProFrac Holding) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » ProFrac Holding Corp (NAS:ACDC) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
333 Shops Boulevard, Suite 301, Willow Park, TX, USA, 76087
ProFrac Holding Corp is engaged in providing hydraulic fracturing, completion services, and other complementary products and services to leading upstream oil and gas companies engaged in the exploration and production of North American unconventional oil and natural gas resources. Its operations are primarily focused in West Texas, East Texas/Louisiana, South Texas, Oklahoma, Uinta, and Appalachian. The company operates in three segments: stimulation services, manufacturing, and proppant production. Stimulation services, which generate the majority of the revenue for the company operate a fleet of mobile hydraulic fracturing units and other auxiliary equipment that generates revenue by providing stimulation services.
Executives
Thrc Holdings, Lp director, 10 percent owner, other: Director by Deputization 17018 INTERSTATE 20, CISCO TX 76437
Farris Wilks director, 10 percent owner, other: Director by Deputization 17018 INTERSTATE 20, CISCO TX 76437
Heather N Klein officer: Chief Administrative Officer C/O PROFRAC HOLDING CORP., 333 SHOPS BOULEVARD, SUITE 301, WILLOW PARK TX 76087
Robert J Willette officer: Chief Legal Officer, Secretary 333 SHOPS BOULEVARD, SUITE 301, WILLOW PARK TX 76087
Matthew Wilks director, officer: See Remarks 17010 IH-20, CISCO TX 76437
Johnathan Ladd Wilks officer: Chief Executive Officer 17010 INTERSTATE 20, CISCO TX 76437
Phillip Blaine Wilbanks officer: Chief Operating Officer 333 SHOPS BOULEVARD, SUITE 301, WILLOW PARK TX 76087
Matthew A Greenwood officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O PROFRAC HOLDING CORP., 333 SHOPS BOULEVARD, SUITE 301, WILLOW PARK TX 76087
Sergei Krylov director 6500 WEST FREEWAY, SUITE 800, FORT WORTH TX 76116
Stacy Durbin Nieuwoudt director 20475 SH 249, SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77070
Gerald W Haddock director C/O ENSCO, 5847 SAN FELIPE, HOUSTON TX 77057
Theresa Glebocki director C/O TROPICANA ENTERTAINMENT INC., 8345 W. SUNSET ROAD, SUITE 200, LAS VEGAS NV 89113
Jo Ann Wilks director, 10 percent owner, other: Director by Deputization 17018 IH-20, CISCO TX 76437
Farris & Jo Ann Wilks 2022 Family Trust director, 10 percent owner, other: Director by Deputization 17018 IH-20, CISCO TX 76437
Randle James Coy Jr officer: Chief Operating Officer PO BOX 1966, PALESTINE TX 75802