Solidarity Bahrain BSC (BAH:SOLID) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.03% (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


BAH:SOLID Solidarity Bahrain BSC BAH:SOLID
34 GF Score
Price BHD0.42
GF Value BHD0.67
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Solidarity Bahrain BSC Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Solidarity Bahrain BSC BAH:SOLID 34 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates BAH:SOLID with a GF Score™ of 34/100 and a GF Value™ of BHD0.67 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Solidarity Bahrain BSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Solidarity Bahrain BSC  (BAH:SOLID) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Solidarity Bahrain BSC Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

BAH:SOLID vs BRK.A, AIG, HIG: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Insurance - Diversified subindustry, Solidarity Bahrain BSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Solidarity Bahrain BSC Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Solidarity Bahrain BSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Solidarity Bahrain BSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


BAH:SOLID
34GF Score
Solidarity Bahrain BSC BAH:SOLID
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Solidarity Bahrain BSC Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.23

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For insurance companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=(Balance Sheet Cash And Cash Equivalents + Short-term investments) / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% mean?
Solidarity Bahrain BSC (BAH:SOLID) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% as of Jun. 24, 2026.
Is Solidarity Bahrain BSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Solidarity Bahrain BSC's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Overall, Solidarity Bahrain BSC has a GF Score™ of 34/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Solidarity Bahrain BSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to BRK.A and AIG?
Solidarity Bahrain BSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% can be compared against companies in the Insurance industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Insurance company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Insurance industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Solidarity Bahrain BSC's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Solidarity Bahrain BSC stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Solidarity Bahrain BSC (BAH:SOLID) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is BHD0.67, compared to a current price of BHD0.42 — trading 38.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Solidarity Bahrain BSC's overall GF Score™ is 34/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Solidarity Bahrain BSC (BAH:SOLID), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Solidarity Bahrain BSC (BAH:SOLID) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Solidarity Bahrain BSC stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of BHD0.42 is trading 38.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of BHD0.67. GuruFocus considers Solidarity Bahrain BSC to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for BAH:SOLID:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.03%
  • GF Value™: BHD0.67 vs. price of BHD0.42 (38.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 34/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BAH:SOLID stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Solidarity Bahrain BSC Business Description

Address Road 2825, PO Box 5282, Flat 71, 7th Floor - Seef Tower, Building 2080, Block 428, Seef Area, Manama, BHR
Solidarity Bahrain BSC is engaged in providing insurance services in Bahrain. The company provides motor insurance, home insurance, car insurance, personal accident insurance, medical insurance, travel insurance, and other products. The company operates in the business segments, namely, Non-motor, which includes fire, marine, general accident, liability, Aviation, and engineering lines of business; Motor; Medical; Group Life, which includes group life and credit life business; and Family Takaful, which includes long-term decreasing term and level term business. The maximum of the company's revenue is from the Motor segment. Geographically operates in Bahrain, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Oman, Kuwait, and other countries.
34GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BAH:SOLID

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

BHD0.42
Price
BHD0.67
GF Value