UHM Vacation (BOM:544779) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 50.00% (As of Sep. 06, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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BOM:544779 UHM Vacation Ltd BOM:544779
19 GF Score
Price ₹33.01
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is UHM Vacation Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

UHM Vacation BOM:544779 -1.73% 19 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00% as of Sep. 06, 2026. GuruFocus rates BOM:544779 with a GF Score™ of 19/100. The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, UHM Vacation's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


UHM Vacation  (BOM:544779) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


UHM Vacation Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


BOM:544779 vs BKNG, ABNB, RCL: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Travel Services subindustry, UHM Vacation's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


UHM Vacation Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, UHM Vacation's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where UHM Vacation's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


BOM:544779
19GF Score
UHM Vacation Ltd BOM:544779
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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UHM Vacation Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 50.00% mean?
UHM Vacation (BOM:544779) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 50.00% as of Sep. 06, 2026.
Is UHM Vacation's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
UHM Vacation's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%. Overall, UHM Vacation has a GF Score™ of 19/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does UHM Vacation's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to BKNG and ABNB?
UHM Vacation's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 50.00% can be compared against companies in the Travel & Leisure industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. UHM Vacation's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is UHM Vacation stock overvalued right now?
UHM Vacation (BOM:544779) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 50.00%. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%. UHM Vacation's overall GF Score™ is 19/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For UHM Vacation (BOM:544779), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00% as of Sep. 06, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

UHM Vacation Business Description

Address C 715, Dattani Plaza, Near East West Industrial Estate Safed Pool, Saki Naka, Andheri East, Mumbai, MH, IND, 400072
UHM Vacation Ltd is engaged in the business of travel and tourism aggregator services, offering comprehensive range of travel and tourism solutions under one platform. It sources and aggregates services from airline operators, accommodation service providers, cruise lines, car rental companies, visa facilitators, and other travel service providers, either directly or through third-party aggregators. The company's offerings include domestic and international air ticket bookings, accommodation bookings, holiday package bookings, tours and activities bookings, transfer management services, car rental services, visa services, and cruise bookings. The majority of its revenue is derived from the provision of accommodation & other travel and tourism ancillary services.
19GF Score

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Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

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