GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Interactive Media » BuzzFeed Inc (NAS:BZFD) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

BZFD (BuzzFeed) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.18% (As of Mar. 14, 2025)


View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

What is BuzzFeed Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, BuzzFeed's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.18%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of BuzzFeed's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Internet Content & Information subindustry, BuzzFeed's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


BuzzFeed's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, BuzzFeed's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where BuzzFeed's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



BuzzFeed Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.33

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.18%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


BuzzFeed  (NAS:BZFD) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


BuzzFeed Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of BuzzFeed's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


BuzzFeed Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
229 West 43rd Street, New York, NY, USA, 10036
BuzzFeed Inc is a tech-powered, diversified media company that reaches hundreds of millions globally through its cross-platform news and entertainment network. The company produces articles, lists, quizzes, videos, and original series; lifestyle content through brands including Tasty, social food network; original reporting and investigative journalism through BuzzFeed News and HuffPost; an industry- affiliate business, strategic partnerships, licensing and product development through BuzzFeed Commerce; and original productions across broadcast, cable, SVOD, film and digital platforms for BuzzFeed Studios.
Executives
Janet L Rolle director 75 WEST 125TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10027
Johnson John S. Iii other: Member of 10% Group C/O CRM MANAGEMENT, PO BOX 778, NEW YORK NY 10013
Comcast Corp 10 percent owner ONE COMCAST CENTER, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103-2838
Matthew Omer officer: CFO C/O BUZZFEED, INC., 229 W. 43RD ST., NEW YORK NY 10036
Joan Lordi Amble director AMERICAN EXPRESS COMPANY, 200 VESEY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10285
David Arroyo officer: Chief Legal Officer 229 W. 43RD ST., NEW YORK NY 10036
Daniel Weinstein officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O BUZZFEED, INC., 229 W. 43RD ST., NEW YORK NY 10036
Marcela Martin officer: President C/O SQUARESPACE, INC., 225 VARICK STREET, 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10014
Johnson Bf, Llc other: Member of 10% Group C/O CRM MANAGEMENT, PO BOX 778, NEW YORK NY 10013
Adam Rothstein director, officer: Executive Chairman 101 CROSS HWY, WESTPORT CA 92610
Gregory Coleman director C/O MEREDITH CORP., 1716 LOCUST STREET, DES MOINES IA 50309
Phuong Dao Nguyen officer: Publisher C/O BUZZFEED, INC., 111 EAST 18TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10003
Christian Baesler officer: Chief Operating Officer 111 EAST 18TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10003
Felicia Dellafortuna officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O BUZZFEED, INC., 111 EAST 18TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10003
Rhonda Powell officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O BUZZFEED, INC., 111 EAST 18TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10003