SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter (CAS:SMI) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02% (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


CAS:SMI SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter CAS:SMI
73 GF Score
Price MAD5,950.00
GF Value MAD3,417.45
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter CAS:SMI +0.85% 73 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates CAS:SMI with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of MAD3,417.45 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter  (CAS:SMI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter Probability of Financial Distress (%) Competitor Comparison

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


CAS:SMI
73GF Score
SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter CAS:SMI
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.58

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% mean?
SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter (CAS:SMI) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% as of Jun. 26, 2026.
Is SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Overall, SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to competitors?
SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% can be compared against companies in the Metals & Mining industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter (CAS:SMI) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MAD3,417.45, compared to a current price of MAD5,950.00 — trading 74.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter (CAS:SMI), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter (CAS:SMI) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MAD5,950.00 is trading 74.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of MAD3,417.45. GuruFocus considers SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for CAS:SMI:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02%
  • GF Value™: MAD3,417.45 vs. price of MAD5,950.00 (74.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CAS:SMI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter Business Description

Address Twin Center, Tour A, PO Box 5199, Angle Boulevards Zerktouni et Al Massira Al Khadra, Casablanca, MAR
SMI - Ste Metallurgique d'Imiter is a Morocco-based company engaged in the mining industry. The company's product portfolio consists of precious metals such as Silver and Gold, Copper, Zinc, Cobalt cathode, Arsenic, Nickel and many more. Its Morocco project consists of Bouskour and Tizert. The Bouskour project is located approximately 80 kilometers southeast of the city of Ouarzazate. Its Tizert project is situated approximately 80 kilometers east of the city of Agadir in the province of Taroudant. The company's Africa project comprises of Gold projects, Tri-K projects, Pumpi project, and Assosa and Budur projects.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CAS:SMI

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MAD5,950.00
Price
MAD3,417.45
GF Value