Princes Group (CHIX:PRNL) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 50.00% (As of Aug. 02, 2026)

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CHIX:PRNL Princes Group PLC CHIX:PRNL
24 GF Score
Price £3.38
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Princes Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Princes Group CHIX:PRNL -0.44% 24 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00% as of Aug. 02, 2026. GuruFocus rates CHIX:PRNL with a GF Score™ of 24/100. The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Princes Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Princes Group  (CHIX:PRNl) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Princes Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


CHIX:PRNL vs KHC, GIS: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Princes Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Princes Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Princes Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Princes Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


CHIX:PRNL
24GF Score
Princes Group PLC CHIX:PRNL
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Princes Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 50.00% mean?
Princes Group (CHIX:PRNL) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 50.00% as of Aug. 02, 2026.
Is Princes Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Princes Group's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%. Overall, Princes Group has a GF Score™ of 24/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Princes Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to KHC and GIS?
Princes Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 50.00% can be compared against companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Princes Group's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Princes Group stock overvalued right now?
Princes Group (CHIX:PRNL) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 50.00%. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%. Princes Group's overall GF Score™ is 24/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Princes Group (CHIX:PRNL), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00% as of Aug. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Princes Group Business Description

Other Exchanges PRN:UK7XN:Germany
Address Royal Liver Building, Pier Head, Liverpool, GBR, L3 1NX
Princes Group PLC is a food and beverage manufacturing company. Its portfolio spans five strategic business units - Foods, Fish, Italian, Oils and Drinks. Its segments include Food: supplies a variety of foods such as baked beans, soups, ready meals, peas and pulses through the large food retailer and foodservice sales channels, which are predominantly manufactured in the UK; Fish: supplies ambient tuna, mackerel, salmon and other fish in the UK and the EEA; Italian: supplies canned tomatoes, branded pasta, pulses and oil products through the large food retailer; Oils: consists of seed, olive and speciality oils, and compound fats; and Drinks: supplies own brand juices, squash and carbonates, operating out of three production facilities in the UK.
24GF Score

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Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

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