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Clipper Realty (Clipper Realty) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.28% (As of Jul. 22, 2024)


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What is Clipper Realty Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Clipper Realty's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.28%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Clipper Realty's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Residential subindustry, Clipper Realty's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Clipper Realty's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Clipper Realty's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Clipper Realty's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Clipper Realty Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.88

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.28%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Clipper Realty  (NYSE:CLPR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Clipper Realty Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Clipper Realty (Clipper Realty) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Clipper Realty Inc (NYSE:CLPR) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4611 12th Avenue, Suite 1L, Brooklyn, NY, USA, 11219
Clipper Realty Inc is a self-administered and self-managed real estate company. It acquires, owns, manages, operates and repositions multifamily residential and commercial properties in the New York metropolitan area, with a portfolio in Manhattan and Brooklyn. It has classified its reporting segments into commercial and residential rental properties. Clipper derives its revenue mostly from a Residential segment.
Executives
Howard M Lorber director 4400 BISCAYNE BLVD, 10TH FLOOR, MIAMI FL 33137
Harmon Spolan director OOZEN O CONNOR, 1900 MARKET ST 4TH FL, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Sam Levinson director, 10 percent owner 9190 PRIORITY WAY WEST DRIVE, SUITE 300, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46240
David Bistricer director, 10 percent owner, officer: Co-Chairman and CEO PO BOX 407, BROOKLIN NY 11219
Michael Charles Frenz officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O CLIPPER REALTY INC, 4611 12TH AVENUE, SUITE 1L, BROOKLYN NY 11219
Roberto Angelo Verrone director 200 HIGHLAND AVENUE, SHORT HILLS NJ 07078
Robert Jay Ivanhoe director GREENBERG TRAURIG, LLP, 200 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10166
Richard N Burger director P.O. BOX 28543, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85255
Lawrence E Kreider officer: Chief Financial Officer 600 GRANT STREET, SUITE 900, DENVER CO 80203
Jacob Bistricer officer: Chief Operating Officer 4611 12TH AVENUE, SUITE 1L, BROOKLYN NY 11219
Jacob Schwimmer officer: Chief PM Offcier 1738 47TH STREET, BROOKLYN NY 11204