Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Euro Tech Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Euro Tech Holdings Co (NAS:CLWT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Euro Tech Holdings Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
CLWT vs LIQT, EESH, BNET: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison
For the Pollution & Treatment Controls subindustry, Euro Tech Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Euro Tech Holdings Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Industrial Products Industry
For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Euro Tech Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Euro Tech Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Euro Tech Holdings Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-7.96
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% mean?
Euro Tech Holdings Co (CLWT) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% as of Jun. 24, 2026.
Is Euro Tech Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Euro Tech Holdings Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Overall, Euro Tech Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Euro Tech Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to LIQT and EESH?
Euro Tech Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% can be compared against companies in the Industrial Products industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Industrial Products company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Industrial Products industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Euro Tech Holdings Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Euro Tech Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Euro Tech Holdings Co (CLWT) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $1.17, compared to a current price of $1.65 — trading 41% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Euro Tech Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Euro Tech Holdings Co (CLWT), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Euro Tech Holdings Co (CLWT) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Euro Tech Holdings Co stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $1.65 is trading 41% above its estimated GF Value™ of $1.17.
GuruFocus considers Euro Tech Holdings Co to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for CLWT:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.03%
GF Value™: $1.17 vs. price of $1.65 (41% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the CLWT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Euro Tech Holdings Co Ltd is mainly a distributor of a wide range of water treatment equipment, laboratory instruments, analyzers, test kits, and related supplies, and power generation equipment, including recorders and power quality analyzers. The Company acts as an exclusive or non-exclusive distributor for manufacturers of such equipment to commercial customers and governmental agencies in Hong Kong and mainland China, as well as commercial customers in Macau. It has two operating segments: Trading and manufacturing, which generate maximum revenue and act as a distributor of water treatment equipment, laboratory instruments, analyzers, test kits, related supplies, and power generation equipment; and the Engineering segment. The Company generates maximum revenue from the PRC.
60GF Score
Get the complete analysis for CLWT
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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