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Cadrenal Therapeutics (Cadrenal Therapeutics) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.38% (As of Jun. 20, 2024)


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What is Cadrenal Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Cadrenal Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.38%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Cadrenal Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Cadrenal Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cadrenal Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Cadrenal Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cadrenal Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Cadrenal Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.58

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.38%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Cadrenal Therapeutics  (NAS:CVKD) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Cadrenal Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Cadrenal Therapeutics (Cadrenal Therapeutics) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
822 A1A North, Suite 306, Ponte Vedra, FL, USA, 32082
Cadrenal Therapeutics Inc is focused on developing a novel therapy with orphan drug indication, tecarfarin, for the prevention of systemic thromboembolism (blood clots) of cardiac origin in patients with end-stage renal disease (on dialysis) and atrial fibrillation (irregular heartbeat) or AFib. Tecarfarin is an anticoagulant designed using a drug design process that targets a different pathway than most commonly prescribed drugs for the treatment of thrombosis and AFib.
Executives
John Raymond Murphy director 233 S PATTERSON AVE, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
Quang X Pham director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO and Chairman 89 MELROSE DRIVE, MISSION VIEJO CA 92692
Robert Lisicki director C/O ARENA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 6154 NANCY RIDGE DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Douglas W Losordo officer: Chief Medical Officer 13 FOX MEADOW RD, SCARSDALE NY 10583
Steven Zelenkofske director 120 MOUNTAIN VIEW BOULEVARD, BASKING RIDGE NJ 07920
Matthew K Szot officer: Chief Financial Officer 802 NORTH DOUTY STREET, HANFORD CA 93230
Glynn Wilson director 2483 NE JULEP STREET, ISSAQUAH WA 98029