DARE (Dare Bioscience) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.95% (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


DARE Dare Bioscience Inc DARE
23 GF Score
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What is Dare Bioscience Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Dare Bioscience DARE -3.85% 23 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.95% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates DARE with a GF Score™ of 23/100. The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Dare Bioscience's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.95%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Dare Bioscience  (NAS:DARE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Dare Bioscience Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


DARE vs TVGN, LITS, BOLD: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Dare Bioscience's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dare Bioscience Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Dare Bioscience's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dare Bioscience's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


DARE
23GF Score
Dare Bioscience Inc DARE
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Dare Bioscience Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-4.64

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.95%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.95% mean?
Dare Bioscience (DARE) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.95% as of Jun. 26, 2026.
Is Dare Bioscience's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Dare Bioscience's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.95%. Overall, Dare Bioscience has a GF Score™ of 23/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Dare Bioscience's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to TVGN and LITS?
Dare Bioscience's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.95% can be compared against companies in the Biotechnology industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Biotechnology company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Biotechnology industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Dare Bioscience's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.95%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Dare Bioscience stock overvalued right now?
Dare Bioscience (DARE) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.95%. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.95%. Dare Bioscience's overall GF Score™ is 23/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Dare Bioscience (DARE), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.95% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Dare Bioscience Business Description

Address 3655 Nobel Drive, Suite 260, San Diego, CA, USA, 92122
Dare Bioscience Inc is a biopharmaceutical company committed to advancing products for women's health. The company identifies, develops, and brings to market a diverse portfolio of differentiated therapies that prioritize women's health and well-being, expand treatment options, and improve outcomes, in the areas of contraception, fertility, and vaginal and sexual health. The company's first product, XACIATO is a single-dose vaginal gel prescription product for the treatment of bacterial vaginosis in females 12 years of age and older. The company's portfolio includes two product candidates in clinical development namely, Ovaprene and Sildenafil Cream. It has one operating segment, women's health.
23GF Score

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Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

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