GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Diamondrock Hospitality Co (NYSE:DRH) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Diamondrock Hospitality Co (Diamondrock Hospitality Co) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of May. 01, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2005. Start your Free Trial

What is Diamondrock Hospitality Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Diamondrock Hospitality Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Diamondrock Hospitality Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Hotel & Motel subindustry, Diamondrock Hospitality Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Diamondrock Hospitality Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Diamondrock Hospitality Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Diamondrock Hospitality Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Diamondrock Hospitality Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Diamondrock Hospitality Co  (NYSE:DRH) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Diamondrock Hospitality Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Diamondrock Hospitality Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Diamondrock Hospitality Co (Diamondrock Hospitality Co) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2 Bethesda Metro Center, Suite 1400, Bethesda, MD, USA, 20814
Diamondrock Hospitality Company is a real estate investment trust that owns lodging properties. Its business is to acquire, own, manage, and renovate full-service hotel properties in the United States. It operates in cities such as Chicago, Boston, New York, Denver and others. Within DiamondRock's holdings, the majority of the hotel brands include Marriott, Starwood, and Hilton. The revenue is divided between room, food and beverage, and other. The room segment contributes the majority of the revenue. The firm's customers include leisure transient, business transient, and group customers.
Executives
Mark W Brugger officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O DIAMONDROCK HOSPITALITY COMPANY, 10400 FERNWOOD ROAD, SUITE 3000, BETHESDA MD 20817
Justin L. Leonard officer: EVP & Chief Operating Officer C/O DIAMONDROCK HOSPITALITY COMPANY, 2 BETHESDA METRO CENTER, SUITE 1400, BETHESDA MD 20814
William J Tennis officer: EVP and General Counsel DIAMONDROCK HOSPITALITY COMPANY, 6903 ROCKLEDGE DRIVE, SUITE 800, BETHESDA MD 20817
Tabassum Zalotrawala director 610 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 1300, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Briony R. Quinn officer: Chief Accounting Officer DIAMONDROCK HOSPITALITY COMPANY, 3 BETHESDA METRO CENTER, SUITE 1500, BETHESDA MD 20814
Troy Furbay officer: Chief Investment Officer DIAMONDROCK HOSPITALITY COMPANY, 3 BETHESDA METGRO CENTER, SUITE 1500, BETHESDA MD 20814
Michael A. Hartmeier director C/O DIAMONDROCK HOSPITALITY COMPANY, 2 BETHESDA METRO CENTER, SUITE 1400, BETHESDA MD 20814
Jeffrey Donnelly officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer C/O DIAMONDROCK HOSPITALITY COMPANY, 2 BETHESDA METRO CENTER, SUITE 1400, BETHESDA MD 20814
Maureen L Mcavey director C/O DIAMONDROCK HOSPITALITY COMPANY, 10400 FERNWOOD ROAD, SUITE 300, BETHESDA MD 20817
Kathleen Wayton director C/O DIAMONDROCK HOSPITALITY COMPANY, 2 BETHESDA METRO CENTER, SUITE 1400, BETHESDA MD 20814
Gilbert T Ray director 901 N GLEBE ROAD, ARLINGTON VA 22203
Jay Lecoryelle Johnson officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer C/O DIAMONDROCK HOSPITALITY COMPANY, 2 BETHESDA METRO CENTER, SUITE 1400, BETHESDA MD 20814
Thomas G. Healy officer: EVP & Chief Operating Officer DIAMONDROCK HOSPITALITY COMPANY, 3 BETHESDA METRO CENTER, SUITE 1500, BETHESDA MD 20814
Sean M Mahoney officer: CAO and Corporate Controller 3 BETHESDA METRO CTR #1000, BETHESDA MD 20814
William Joseph Shaw director 6649 WESTWOOD BLVD., ORLANDO FL 32821