DRS (Leonardo DRS) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.03% (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


DRS Leonardo DRS Inc DRS
79 GF Score
Price $44.37
GF Value $35.46
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Leonardo DRS Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Leonardo DRS DRS -0.74% 79 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates DRS with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of $35.46 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Leonardo DRS's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Leonardo DRS  (NAS:DRS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Leonardo DRS Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


DRS vs HII, KTOS, MOG.A: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Leonardo DRS's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Leonardo DRS Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Leonardo DRS's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Leonardo DRS's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


DRS
79GF Score
Leonardo DRS Inc DRS
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Leonardo DRS Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.19

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% mean?
Leonardo DRS (DRS) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% as of Jun. 25, 2026.
Is Leonardo DRS's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Leonardo DRS's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Overall, Leonardo DRS has a GF Score™ of 79/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Leonardo DRS's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to HII and KTOS?
Leonardo DRS's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% can be compared against companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Aerospace & Defense company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Aerospace & Defense industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Leonardo DRS's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Leonardo DRS stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Leonardo DRS (DRS) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $35.46, compared to a current price of $44.37 — trading 25.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Leonardo DRS's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Leonardo DRS (DRS), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Leonardo DRS (DRS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Leonardo DRS stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $44.37 is trading 25.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of $35.46. GuruFocus considers Leonardo DRS to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for DRS:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.03%
  • GF Value™: $35.46 vs. price of $44.37 (25.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the DRS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Leonardo DRS Business Description

Other Exchanges DRS:Mexico2VZ:Germany
Address 2345 Crystal Drive, Suite 1000, Arlington, VA, USA, 22202
Leonardo DRS Inc is a provider of defense products and technologies that are used across land, air, sea, space, and cyber domains. It is in the design, development, and manufacture of Advanced sensing, network computing, force protection, and electric power and propulsion technologies and solutions. The company has two segments: Advanced Sensing and Computing, which generates the majority of revenue, and the Integrated Mission Systems segment. The Advanced Sensing and Computing segment is engaged in designing, developing, and manufacturing sensing and network computing technology that enables real-time situational awareness required for enhanced operational decision-making and execution by the customers.
79GF Score

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Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$44.37
Price
$35.46
GF Value