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ETD (Ethan Allen Interiors) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Dec. 13, 2024)


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What is Ethan Allen Interiors Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Ethan Allen Interiors's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Ethan Allen Interiors's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances subindustry, Ethan Allen Interiors's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ethan Allen Interiors's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Industry

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ethan Allen Interiors's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ethan Allen Interiors's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Ethan Allen Interiors Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.59

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Ethan Allen Interiors  (NYSE:ETD) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Ethan Allen Interiors Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Ethan Allen Interiors Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
25 Lake Avenue Extension, Danbury, CT, USA, 06811 - 5286
Ethan Allen Interiors Inc through its subsidiaries, operates as an interior design company, and a manufacturer and retailer in the home furnishings marketplace. Its product offerings include fabric chairs, beds, wallpapers, desks, and dining tables among others. The company's reportable segments are; Wholesale and Retail. The Wholesale segment is principally involved in the development of the Ethan Allen brand and encompasses all aspects of design, manufacturing, sourcing, marketing, sale, and distribution of home furnishings and accents. The Retail segment which generates maximum revenue, sells home furnishings and accents to clients through company-operated design centers. Geographically, it derives key revenue from the United States and the rest from other regions.
Executives
M Farooq Kathwari director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman, President & CEO C/O ETHAN ALLEN INTERIORS INC, ETHAN ALLEN DRIVE, DANBURY CT 06811
Rebecca L Thompson officer: SVP, Merchandising 25 LAKE AVENUE EXT., DANBURY CT 06811
Ashley Fothergill officer: SVP, Merchandising 25 LAKE AVENUE EXT., DANBURY CT 06811
Casar Perez Maria Eugenia director 25 LAKE AVENUE EXT., DANBURY CT 06811
David M. Sable director 77 HOT METAL STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15203-2329
Cynthia Ekberg Tsai director 800 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10021
John Bernard Clark director 25 LAKE AVENUE EXT., DANBURY CT 06811
James B. Carlson director ETHAN ALLEN DRIVE, DANBURY CT 06811
Daniel M. Grow officer: VP, Business Development ETHAN ALLEN DRIVE, DANBURY CT 06811
Whitely Corey officer: Executive VP Operations C/O ETHAN ALLEN INTERIORS INC, ETHAN ALLEN DRIVE, DANBURY CT 06811
Rodney A. Hutton officer: Chief Marketing Officer 25 LAKE AVENUE EXT., DANBURY CT 06811-5286
Matthew J Mcnulty officer: VP, Corporate Controller 601 MERRITT 7, NORWALK CT 06851
Domenick J. Esposito director ETHAN ALLEN DRIVE, DANBURY CT 06811
Bedford John S Ii officer: VP, Corporate Controller ETHAN ALLEN DRIVE, DANBURY CT 06811
Mary Garrett director ETHAN ALLEN DRIVE, DANBURY CT 06811