First Financial Northwest (First Financial Northwest) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)

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What is First Financial Northwest Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, First Financial Northwest's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of First Financial Northwest's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, First Financial Northwest's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

First Financial Northwest's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, First Financial Northwest's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Financial Northwest's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

First Financial Northwest Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-7.77

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

(Balance Sheet Cash And Cash Equivalents + Money Market Investments)

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

First Financial Northwest (NAS:FFNW) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

First Financial Northwest Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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First Financial Northwest (First Financial Northwest) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » First Financial Northwest Inc (NAS:FFNW) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

201 Wells Avenue South, PO Box 360, Renton, WA, USA, 98057

Website

https://www.ffnwb.com

First Financial Northwest Inc is the holding company for First Financial Northwest Bank and First Financial Diversified. First Financial Northwest Bank is a subsidiary of First Financial Northwest and as such comprises substantially all of the activity for First Financial Northwest. The Bank's business consists predominantly of attracting deposits from the general public, combined with borrowing from the FHLB of Des Moines and raising funds in the wholesale market then utilizing these funds to originate one-to-four family residential, multifamily, commercial real estate, construction/land, business, and consumer loans. The Bank's strategic initiatives seek to diversify its loan portfolio and broaden growth opportunities with its current risk tolerance levels and asset/liability objectives.

Executives

Simon Soh	officer: Chief Lending Officer FSBNW	201 WELLS AVENUE SOUTH, RENTON WA 98057
Richard P Jacobson	officer: COO of the Bank
Kiley Joseph W Iii	director, officer: President and CEO of the Bank	IMPERIAL CAPITAL BANCORP INC, 888 PROSPECT STREET SUITE 110, LA JOLLA CA 92037
Cindy L. Runger	director	201 WELLS AVENUE SOUTH, RENTON WA 98057
Christine A. Huestis	officer: 1st VP/Prin. Acct Officer	201 WELLS AVENUE SOUTH, RENTON WA 98057
Richard M Riccobono	director	201 WELLS AVENUE SOUTH, RENTON WA 98057
Ralph C Sabin	director	C/O PACIFIC VENTURE GROUP, 114 PACIFICA STREET, SUITE 270, IRVINE CA 92618
Diane C. Davis	director	201 WELLS AVENUE SOUTH, RENTON WA 98057
Kevin D Padrick	director	2055 FIRST STREET, BAKER CITY OR 97814
Patricia M. Remch	director	201 WELLS AVENUE SOUTH, RENTON WA 98057
Randy T. Riffle	officer: Executive VP and CCO	105 W. 8TH STREET, PORT ANGELES WA 98362
Gary F Faull	director	201 WELLS AVENUE SOUTH, RENTON WA 98057
Joann E Lee	director	201 WELLS AVENUE SOUTH, RENTON WA 98057
Ronnie J Clariza	officer: Sr.VP/Chief Risk Officer	201 WELLS AVENUE SOUTH, RENTON WA 98057
Gregg H. Deritis	officer: Senior VP and CCO	201 WELLS AVENUE SOUTH, RENTON WA 98057