Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, BRC Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
BRC Group Holdings (FRA:5E6) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
BRC Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
FRA:5E6 vs TREE, FRHC, VOYA: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison
For the Financial Conglomerates subindustry, BRC Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
BRC Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Diversified Financial Services Industry
For the Diversified Financial Services industry and Financial Services sector, BRC Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where BRC Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
BRC Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-8.10
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% mean?
BRC Group Holdings (FRA:5E6) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% as of Jun. 25, 2026.
Is BRC Group Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
BRC Group Holdings' current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Overall, BRC Group Holdings has a GF Score™ of 54/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does BRC Group Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to TREE and FRHC?
BRC Group Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% can be compared against companies in the Diversified Financial Services industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Diversified Financial Services company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Diversified Financial Services industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. BRC Group Holdings's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is BRC Group Holdings stock overvalued right now?
BRC Group Holdings (FRA:5E6) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03%. The stock's GF Value™ is €8.03, compared to a current price of €7.45 — trading 7.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. BRC Group Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 54/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For BRC Group Holdings (FRA:5E6), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is BRC Group Holdings (FRA:5E6) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, BRC Group Holdings stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of €7.45 is trading 7.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of €8.03.
Key valuation signals for FRA:5E6:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.03%
GF Value™: €8.03 vs. price of €7.45 (7.2% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:5E6 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
BRC Group Holdings Inc is a diversified holding company offering a platform of businesses, including financial services, telecom, retail, and investments in equity, debt, and venture capital. It serves retail, corporate, capital providers, and individual customers across various business lines. The Group has seven reportable business segments: Capital Markets, Wealth Management, Lingo, magicJack, Marconi Wireless, UOL, and Consumer Products. Maximum revenue is generated from the Capital Markets segment, which provides investment banking and institutional brokerage services, offers loans, trades in equity securities, and maintains an investment portfolio of public and private equities and debt securities. Geographically, the Group derives maximum revenue from its business in North America.
54GF Score
Get the complete analysis for FRA:5E6
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
FRA:5E6 has been successfully added to your 