What is Artio Global Investors, Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Artio Global Investors,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of Artio Global Investors,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Asset Management subindustry, Artio Global Investors,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Artio Global Investors,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry
For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Artio Global Investors,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Artio Global Investors,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Artio Global Investors, Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Artio Global Investors, (FRA:A1I) Business Description
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Artio Global Investors Inc. was incorporated in Delaware. The Company is an asset management Company that provides investment management services to institutional and mutual fund clients. In addition to International Equity, it offers a select group of other equity and fixed income strategies, including Global Equity, a series of U.S. Equity strategies, High Grade Fixed Income, High Yield and Local Emerging Markets Debt. Currently, it manage and advise the following investment vehicles through which clients can access its investment capabilities: proprietary funds; commingled institutional investment vehicles; institutional separate accounts; sub-advisory accounts; and a hedge fund. Its operations and clients are based principally in the U.S.; however, a substantial portion of its AuM is invested outside of the U.S. Its revenues are mainly billed in U.S. dollars, driven by investment management fees earned from managing clients' assets, and are calculated on the U.S. dollar value of the investment assets it manage for clients. Its distribution efforts target institutions and organizations that demonstrate institutional buying behavior and longer-term investment horizons, such as pension fund consultants, broker dealers, registered investment advisors ('RIAs'), mutual fund platforms and sub-advisory relationships, enabling it to achieve significant leverage from its focused sales force and client service infrastructure. It also manage assets for more than 700,000 retail mutual fund shareholders through SEC-registered funds and other retail investors through 10 funds that it sub-advise for others. It competes in all aspects of its business with other investment management companies. The Company's business is subject to extensive regulation in the U.S. at both the federal and state level, as well as by self-regulatory organizations and outside the U.S.
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