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SilverCrest Mines (FRA:CW5) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Jun. 24, 2024)


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What is SilverCrest Mines Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, SilverCrest Mines's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of SilverCrest Mines's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Gold subindustry, SilverCrest Mines's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


SilverCrest Mines's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, SilverCrest Mines's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SilverCrest Mines's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



SilverCrest Mines Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


SilverCrest Mines  (FRA:CW5) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


SilverCrest Mines Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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SilverCrest Mines (FRA:CW5) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
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Address
SilverCrest Mines Inc was incorporated on May 22, 1973 under the laws of Ontario as Equitable Mines Limited and changed its name to Magic Foods Inc. on July 24, 1985. The Company was continued on May 15, 1998 under the laws of British Columbia as "Lucre Ventures Ltd. The name of the Company was changed to "Strathclair Ventures Ltd." on September 5, 2001 and to "SilverCrest Mines Inc." on May 23, 2003. The Company is a Canadian precious metals producer with a silver and gold asset base and an operating mine located in Mexico. The Company's principal property is the 100% owned Santa Elena Project, which includes the Santa Elena Mine, located 150 kilometres northeast of Hermosillo, near Banamichi in the State of Sonora, Mexico. The Santa Elena Mine is a high-grade, epithermal silver and gold deposit that is currently being operated as an open pit heap leach operation. The Company's other principal property is the La Joya Property in Durango state, Mexico which contains a large polymetallic deposit that is being explored with the aim of developing silver, copper, gold and tungsten resources. The Company also has a portfolio of other mineral properties, which comprise of the Cruz de Mayo Project (Mexico), the Ermitano Property (Mexico), the Silver Angel Project (Mexico) and the El Zapote Project (El Salvador).

SilverCrest Mines (FRA:CW5) Headlines

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