Pou Sheng International (Holdings) (FRA:P5C) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04% (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


FRA:P5C Pou Sheng International (Holdings) Ltd FRA:P5C
56 GF Score
Price €0.04
GF Value €0.06
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Pou Sheng International (Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Pou Sheng International (Holdings) FRA:P5C -3.75% 56 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:P5C with a GF Score™ of 56/100 and a GF Value™ of €0.06 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Pou Sheng International (Holdings)'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Pou Sheng International (Holdings)  (FRA:P5C) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Pou Sheng International (Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


FRA:P5C vs NKE, DECK, ONON: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Footwear & Accessories subindustry, Pou Sheng International (Holdings)'s Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pou Sheng International (Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Pou Sheng International (Holdings)'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pou Sheng International (Holdings)'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


FRA:P5C
56GF Score
Pou Sheng International (Holdings) Ltd FRA:P5C
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Pou Sheng International (Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.75

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% mean?
Pou Sheng International (Holdings) (FRA:P5C) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% as of Jun. 27, 2026.
Is Pou Sheng International (Holdings)'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Pou Sheng International (Holdings)'s current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Overall, Pou Sheng International (Holdings) has a GF Score™ of 56/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Pou Sheng International (Holdings)'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to NKE and DECK?
Pou Sheng International (Holdings)'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% can be compared against companies in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Pou Sheng International (Holdings)'s current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Pou Sheng International (Holdings) stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Pou Sheng International (Holdings) (FRA:P5C) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €0.06, compared to a current price of €0.04 — trading 35.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Pou Sheng International (Holdings)'s overall GF Score™ is 56/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Pou Sheng International (Holdings) (FRA:P5C), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Pou Sheng International (Holdings) (FRA:P5C) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Pou Sheng International (Holdings) stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €0.04 is trading 35.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of €0.06. GuruFocus considers Pou Sheng International (Holdings) to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:P5C:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04%
  • GF Value™: €0.06 vs. price of €0.04 (35.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 56/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:P5C stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Pou Sheng International (Holdings) Business Description

Other Exchanges 03813:Hong Kong
Address 108 Wai Yip Street, 22nd Floor, C-Bons International Center, Kwun Tong, Kowloon, Hong Kong, HKG
Pou Sheng International (Holdings) Ltd is an investment holding company. The principal activities of the group are the distribution and retailing of sportswear and footwear products, the provision of sports services, and the provision of large-scale commercial spaces to retailers and distributors for commissions from concessionaire sales. Its operations are mainly located in the PRC. The company derives maximum revenue from sales of sportswear and footwear products.
56GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:P5C

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€0.04
Price
€0.06
GF Value