What is Uranerz Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Uranerz Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of Uranerz Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Uranerz Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Uranerz Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry
For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Uranerz Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Uranerz Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Uranerz Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Uranerz Energy (FRA:U9E) Business Description
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Uranerz Energy Corp was incorporated under the laws of the State of Nevada on May 26, 1999. On July 5, 2005, it changed its name from Carleton Ventures Corp. to Uranerz Energy Corporation. The Company is an exploration stage company engaged in the acquisition, exploration and, if warranted, development of uranium properties. It is a United States based uranium company focused on constructing an in-situ recovery uranium facility. ISR is a mining process that uses a leaching solution to extract uranium from underground sandstone-hosted uranium deposits, it is the generally accepted extraction technology used in the Powder River Basin area of Wyoming. It is principally focused on the exploitation of its properties in the Powder River Basin. The commercial use of uranium is to fuel nuclear power plants for the generation of electricity. All the uranium produced from its mines will be used to generate electricity. The Company competes with other mining and exploration companies in connection with the acquisition of uranium mineral properties and the equipment, materials and personnel necessary to explore and develop such properties. Its exploration and production activities are subject to certain federal and state laws and regulations relating to environmental quality and pollution control.
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