Ideal Holdings (FRA:Y3F) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04% (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


FRA:Y3F Ideal Holdings SA FRA:Y3F
64 GF Score
Price €6.49
GF Value €8.85
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 10 Warning Signs
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What is Ideal Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Ideal Holdings FRA:Y3F -1.22% 64 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:Y3F with a GF Score™ of 64/100 and a GF Value™ of €8.85 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Ideal Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Ideal Holdings  (FRA:Y3F) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Ideal Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


FRA:Y3F vs SNX, ARW, AVT: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Electronics & Computer Distribution subindustry, Ideal Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ideal Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Ideal Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ideal Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


FRA:Y3F
64GF Score
Ideal Holdings SA FRA:Y3F
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Ideal Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.87

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% mean?
Ideal Holdings (FRA:Y3F) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% as of Jun. 26, 2026.
Is Ideal Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Ideal Holdings' current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Overall, Ideal Holdings has a GF Score™ of 64/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ideal Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to SNX and ARW?
Ideal Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% can be compared against companies in the Hardware industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Hardware company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Hardware industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Ideal Holdings's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ideal Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ideal Holdings (FRA:Y3F) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €8.85, compared to a current price of €6.49 — trading 26.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Ideal Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ideal Holdings (FRA:Y3F), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ideal Holdings (FRA:Y3F) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ideal Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €6.49 is trading 26.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of €8.85. GuruFocus considers Ideal Holdings to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:Y3F:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04%
  • GF Value™: €8.85 vs. price of €6.49 (26.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 64/100 with 10 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:Y3F stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ideal Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges INTEK:Greece0IYE:UK
Address 25 Kreontos Street, P.O. Box 10442, Athens, GRC, 10442
Ideal Holdings SA is an investment firm focused on driving the growth of Greek companies by acquiring majority stakes. Along with its subsidiaries, the company operates in the following segments: Information Technology (IT) and Specialized retail trade. The majority of its revenue is generated from the Specialized retail segment, which includes operations of Attica Department Stores, selling beauty and fashion products of various brands. The IT segment provides services like distribution of technology products, IT software and cybersecurity products, development of customer communication management software i-DOCS, integrated IT solutions, and trust and cybersecurity services. Geographically, the group generates maximum revenue from its domestic market.
64GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:Y3F

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€6.49
Price
€8.85
GF Value