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JFrog (FROG) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is JFrog Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, JFrog's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of JFrog's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Application subindustry, JFrog's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


JFrog's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, JFrog's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where JFrog's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



JFrog Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.98

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


JFrog  (NAS:FROG) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


JFrog Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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JFrog (FROG) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » JFrog Ltd (NAS:FROG) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
270 E. Caribbean Drive, Sunnyvale, CA, USA, 94089
JFrog Ltd provides an end-to-end, hybrid, universal DevOps Platform that powers and controls the software supply chain, enabling organizations to continuously and securely deliver software updates across any system. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from Israel. Its product portfolio includes JFrog Artifactory; JFrog Pipelines; JFrog Xray; JFrog Distribution; JFrog Artifactory Edge; JFrog Mission Control and JFrog Insight.
Executives
Frederic Simon director C/O JFROG LTD, 270 E. CARIBBEAN DRIVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Ben Haim Shlomi director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O JFROG LTD, 270 E CARIBBEAN DRIVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Yoav Landman director, officer: Chief Technology Officer C/O JFROG LTD, 270 E CARIBBEAN DRIVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Tali Notman officer: Chief Revenue Officer C/O JFROG LTD, 270 E CARIBBEAN DRIVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Yakov (jacob) Shulman officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O MELLANOX TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 350 OAKMEAD PARKWAY, SUITE 100, SUNNYVALE CA 94085
Yossi Sela director, 10 percent owner GEMINI ISRAEL FUNDS, 9 HAMENOFIM STREET, HERZLIYA PITUACH L3 46725
Elisa Steele director 1601 CLOVERFIELD BLVD, STE 620 SOUTH, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Jeff Horing director INSIGHT PARTNERS, 680 5TH AVENUE 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Yvonne Wassenaar director C/O FORRESTER RESEARCH, INC., 60 ACORN PARK DRIVE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02140
Meerah Rajavel director C/O JFROG LTD., 270 E CARIBBEAN DRIVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Andrew L. Vitus director, 10 percent owner C/O SCALE VENTURE PARTNERS, 950 TOWER LANE, SUITE 700, FOSTER CITY CA 94404
Gemini Israel V Limited Partnership 10 percent owner 1 ABBA EBAN AVENUE, MERKAZIM 2001,, BLDG A, 3RD FLOOR, HERZLIYA L3 00000
Scale Venture Partners Iv, L.p. 10 percent owner 950 TOWER LANE, SUITE 1150, FOSTER CITY CA 94404
Stacey Bishop 10 percent owner 950 TOWER LANE, SUITE 700, FOSTER CITY CA 94404
Gemini Partners Investors V L.p. 10 percent owner 1 ABBA EBAN AVENUE, MERKAZIM 2001,, BLDG A, 3RD FLOOR, HERZLIYA L3 00000