Global Business Travel Group (Global Business Travel Group) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of May. 24, 2024)

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What is Global Business Travel Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Global Business Travel Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Global Business Travel Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Application subindustry, Global Business Travel Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Global Business Travel Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Global Business Travel Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Global Business Travel Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Global Business Travel Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-7.56

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Global Business Travel Group (NYSE:GBTG) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Global Business Travel Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Global Business Travel Group (Global Business Travel Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Global Business Travel Group Inc (NYSE:GBTG) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

666 3rd Avenue, 4th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10017

Website

https://investors.amexglobalbusinesstravel.com

Global Business Travel Group Inc operates as a business-to-business travel platform. It is engaged in providing software and services to manage travel, expenses, and meetings and events for companies of all sizes. The company is engaged in building the marketplace in B2B travel to deliver unrivaled choice, value, and experiences. It also provides business travel solutions, simplified travel management, and business consulting services. Further, It provides a service solution, automated booking, diverse options, system integration, and specialized traveler care. The company also offers Expert Auditor Expert Care and Business Travel App.

Executives

Karen A Williams	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O GLOBAL BUSINESS TRAVEL GROUP, INC., 666 THIRD AVENUE, 4TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Paul G Abbott	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O GLOBAL BUSINESS TRAVEL GROUP, INC., 666 THIRD AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Eric J. Bock	officer: See remarks	300 GALLERIA PARKWAY, NW, ATLANTA GA 30339
Martine Gerow	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O GLOBAL BUSINESS TRAVEL GROUP, INC., 666 THIRD AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
James Peter Bush	director	200 VESEY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10285
Vliet Christopher Van	officer: Vice President, Controller	C/O GLOBAL BUSINESS TRAVEL GROUP, INC., 666 THIRD AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Asof Investment Management Llc	10 percent owner	2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, C/O ARES MANAGEMENT, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Ares Management Llc	10 percent owner	2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Michael Qualantone	officer: Chief Revenue Officer	C/O GLOBAL BUSINESS TRAVEL GROUP, INC., 666 THIRD AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Expedia Group, Inc.	director, 10 percent owner	1111 EXPEDIA GROUP WAY W., SEATTLE WA 98119
Evan Konwiser	officer: See remarks	C/O GLOBAL BUSINESS TRAVEL GROUP, INC., 666 THIRD AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Boriana Tchobanova	officer: Chief Transformation Officer	C/O GLOBAL BUSINESS TRAVEL GROUP, INC., 666 THIRD AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Mark Hollyhead	officer: President, Egencia	C/O GLOBAL BUSINESS TRAVEL GROUP, INC., 666 THIRD AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Patricia Anne Huska	officer: Chief People Officer	C/O GLOBAL BUSINESS TRAVEL GROUP, INC., 666 THIRD AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Andrew George Crawley	officer: Chief Commercial Officer	C/O GLOBAL BUSINESS TRAVEL GROUP, INC., 666 THIRD AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017