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GoPro (GPRO) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.12% (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is GoPro Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, GoPro's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.12%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of GoPro's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Consumer Electronics subindustry, GoPro's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


GoPro's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, GoPro's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where GoPro's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



GoPro Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.75

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.12%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


GoPro  (NAS:GPRO) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


GoPro Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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GoPro (GPRO) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » GoPro Inc (NAS:GPRO) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Address
3025 Clearview Way, San Mateo, CA, USA, 94402
GoPro Inc is a United States-based company that is principally engaged in designing and providing cameras, mounts, drones and appliances. The company outsources a part of manufacturing to third parties in China. The company sells products across the world through its direct sales channel, which generates over half of total revenue, and indirectly through its distribution channel. The company has presence, including in the Americas, Europe, Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific, with the Americas contributing over half of total revenue.
Executives
Eve T. Saltman officer: VP, Corp/Bus Dev, GC, Sec 3000 CLEARVIEW WAY, SAN MATEO CA 94402
Brian Mcgee officer: Vice President of Finance 3000 CLEARVIEW WAY, SAN MATEO CA 94402
Charles Lafrades officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O GOPRO, INC., 455 ECCLES AVENUE, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Dean Jahnke officer: Vice President, Global Sales 3000 CLEARVIEW WAY, SAN MATEO CA 94402
Lauren Zalaznick director 425 LEXINGTON AVENUE, (ATTN: ANDREA ANDREZO), NEW YORK NY 10017
Kevin Hinge officer: SVP, Chief Supply Chain Off. 3030 BINNACLE DR. #306, NAPLES FL 34103
Tyrone Ahmad-taylor director 3000 CLEARVIEW WAY, SAN MATEO CA 94402
Frederic Welts director GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS, 1011 BROADWAY, OAKLAND CA 94607
S Aimee Lapic officer: SVP, Chief Digital Officer 2101 WEBSTER ST #1650, OAKLAND CA 94612
Nicholas Woodman director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO, Chairman of the Board 3025 CLEARVIEW WAY, SAN MATEO CA 94402
Susan M Lyne director 11 WEST 42ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10036
Shaz Kahng director 24 EAST AVENUE #139, NEW CANAAN CT 06840
Peter C Gotcher director
Kenneth A Goldman director C/O YAHOO! INC., 701 FIRST AVENUE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
James Lanzone director 3000 CLEARVIEW WAY, SAN MATEO CA 94402