Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises (HKSE:01235) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02% (As of Jul. 13, 2026)

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HKSE:01235 Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises Ltd HKSE:01235
45 GF Score
Price HK$0.20
GF Value HK$0.40
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises HKSE:01235 45 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jul. 13, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:01235 with a GF Score™ of 45/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$0.40 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises  (HKSE:01235) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

HKSE:01235 vs BKNG, ABNB, RCL: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Travel Services subindustry, Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


HKSE:01235
45GF Score
Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises Ltd HKSE:01235
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.49

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% mean?
Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises (HKSE:01235) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% as of Jul. 13, 2026.
Is Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises' Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises' current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Overall, Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises has a GF Score™ of 45/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises' Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to BKNG and ABNB?
Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises' Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% can be compared against companies in the Travel & Leisure industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises (HKSE:01235) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$0.40, compared to a current price of HK$0.20 — trading 49.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises' overall GF Score™ is 45/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises (HKSE:01235), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jul. 13, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises (HKSE:01235) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of HK$0.20 is trading 49.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of HK$0.40. GuruFocus considers Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:01235:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02%
  • GF Value™: HK$0.40 vs. price of HK$0.20 (49.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 45/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:01235 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises Business Description

Address No. 160 Gloucester Road, 5th Floor, Overseas Trust Bank Building, Wanchai, Hong Kong, HKG
Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises Ltd is an investment holding company. It is engaged in the provision of services relating to sales of travel-related products, sales of package tours, food and beverage, and investment in treasury activities. It derives the majority of its revenue from the Sales of package tours. Geographically, it operates from Hong Kong and the PRC. The group generates the majority of its revenue from Hong Kong.
45GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:01235

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$0.20
Price
HK$0.40
GF Value