Innovent Biologics (HKSE:01801) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.03% (As of Jul. 03, 2026)


HKSE:01801 Innovent Biologics Inc HKSE:01801
83 GF Score
Price HK$86.95
GF Value HK$99.60
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Innovent Biologics Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Innovent Biologics HKSE:01801 +1.87% 83 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03% as of Jul. 03, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:01801 with a GF Score™ of 83/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$99.60 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Innovent Biologics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Innovent Biologics  (HKSE:01801) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Innovent Biologics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

HKSE:01801 vs VRTX, REGN, ALNY: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Innovent Biologics's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Innovent Biologics Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Innovent Biologics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Innovent Biologics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


HKSE:01801
83GF Score
Innovent Biologics Inc HKSE:01801
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Innovent Biologics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.99

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% mean?
Innovent Biologics (HKSE:01801) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% as of Jul. 03, 2026.
Is Innovent Biologics' Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Innovent Biologics' current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Overall, Innovent Biologics has a GF Score™ of 83/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Innovent Biologics' Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to VRTX and REGN?
Innovent Biologics' Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% can be compared against companies in the Biotechnology industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Biotechnology company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Biotechnology industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Innovent Biologics's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Innovent Biologics stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Innovent Biologics (HKSE:01801) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$99.60, compared to a current price of HK$86.95 — trading 12.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Innovent Biologics' overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Innovent Biologics (HKSE:01801), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03% as of Jul. 03, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Innovent Biologics (HKSE:01801) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Innovent Biologics stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of HK$86.95 is trading 12.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of HK$99.60. GuruFocus considers Innovent Biologics to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:01801:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.03%
  • GF Value™: HK$99.60 vs. price of HK$86.95 (12.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 83/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:01801 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Innovent Biologics Business Description

Address 168 Dongping Street, Suzhou Industrial Park, Jiangsu Province, Suzhou, CHN, 215123
Innovent Biologics is one of the leading biotechnology companies in China. Listed on the Hong Kong stock exchange in 2018, Innovent has 12 commercialized oncology products and four commercialized nononcology products as of January 2026, and 34 drugs in its research and development pipeline. Its core assets are Tyvyt, a PD-1 inhibitor included in the National Reimbursement Drug Lists (NRDL) for the first-line treatment of five major cancers, and mazdutide, a GLP-1/glucagon dual agonist drug for weight loss, fat breakdown, and Type 2 diabetes. Mazdutide is the first domestic GLP-1 drug produced and competes with Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk in China. Tyvyt's main competition includes drugs from Junshi, Jiangsu Hengrui, BeOne, Merck, and Bristol Myers.
83GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:01801

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$86.95
Price
HK$99.60
GF Value