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Xikang Cloud Hospital Holdings (HKSE:09686) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.53% (As of Mar. 13, 2025)


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What is Xikang Cloud Hospital Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Xikang Cloud Hospital Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.53%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Xikang Cloud Hospital Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Health Information Services subindustry, Xikang Cloud Hospital Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Xikang Cloud Hospital Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Xikang Cloud Hospital Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Xikang Cloud Hospital Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Xikang Cloud Hospital Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.24

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.53%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Xikang Cloud Hospital Holdings  (HKSE:09686) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Xikang Cloud Hospital Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Xikang Cloud Hospital Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 12 Huizheng Alley, No. 1-1, 1-2, 1-3, 1-4, 1-5, 2-1, Haishu District, Zhejiang Province, Ningbo, CHN
Xikang Cloud Hospital Holdings Inc, formerly Neusoft Xikang Holdings Inc developed China's first city-specific cloud hospital platform. The company facilitates the delivery of Internet medical services, including online hospital services, remote medical services, smart family doctor services and Internet home care services. The company also provides health management services and offers smart healthcare products. The company has four operating segments: Cloud hospital platform services; Internet medical services; Health management services and Smart healthcare products. It derives maximum revenue from Health management services.
Executives
Dalian Neusoft Holdings Co., Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shenyang Kang Ruidao Consulting Co., Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Tianjin Zengdao Management Consultancy Center (limited Partnership) 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Dalian Kang Ruidao Management Consulting Centre (limited Partnership) 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Neusoft Corporation 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Neusoft (hk) Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Liu Jiren 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zhang Qiping 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hony Capital Fund V, L.p. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Su Zhou Tong Yu Tou Zi Guan Li He Huo Qi Ye You Xian He Huo 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Su Zhou Tong He Yu Cheng Tou Zi He Huo Qi Ye You Xian He Huo 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Su Zhou Fu Yan Chuang Ye Tou Zi Guan Li He Huo Qi Ye You Xian He Huo 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Su Zhou Tong He Er Qi Chuang Ye Tou Zi He Huo Qi Ye You Xian He Huo 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Su Zhou Yun Zhang Tou Zi Zi Xun You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Synergetic Innovation Fund Management Co., Ltd 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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