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HLIT (Harmonic) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of Dec. 13, 2024)


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What is Harmonic Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Harmonic's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Harmonic's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Harmonic's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Harmonic's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Harmonic's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Harmonic's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Harmonic Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.69

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Harmonic  (NAS:HLIT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Harmonic Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Harmonic Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Harmonic Inc (NAS:HLIT) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2590 Orchard Parkway, San Jose, CA, USA, 95131
Harmonic Inc designs and manufactures video infrastructure products and system solutions to deliver video and broadband services to consumer devices. The firm operates in two segments: Video, which sells video processing, production, and playout solutions to cable operators and satellite and telecommunications providers; and Broadband which sells broadband access solutions and related services. Majority of the revenue generated from the company is from United States.
Executives
Neven Haltmayer officer: Vice President, R&D 549 BALTIC WAY, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Ian Graham officer: SVP, Intl Sales & Video Svcs 2950 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Nimrod Ben-natan officer: VP, Solutions & Strategy 2950 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Walter Jankovic officer: Chief Financial Officer 2950 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Jeremy Rosenberg officer: Interim CFO & SVP Bus Dev 2590 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Patrick Harshman officer: President, BAN Division 2950 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Sanjay Kalra officer: Chief Financial Officer HARMONIC INC., 4300 NORTH FIRST STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Sophia Kim director 2590 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Nikos Theodosopoulos director C/O ARISTA NETWORKS, INC., 5453 GREAT AMERICA PARKWAY, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Daniel T Whalen director 2055 BENJAMIN CIRCLE, WALL NJ 07719
David Krall director C/O AVID TECHNOLOGY INC, ONE PARK WEST, TEWKSBURY MA 01876
Eric Louvet officer: SVP Sales NA & APAC 4300 NORTH FIRST STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Susan Swenson director C/O PALM INC, 5470 GREAT AMERICAN PARKWAY MS12116, SANTA CLARA CA 95052
Deborah Clifford director 4300 NORTH FIRST STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95134
William F Reddersen director