Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.52%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk (ISX:CUAN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) Competitor Comparison
For the Thermal Coal subindustry, PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Other Energy Sources Industry
For the Other Energy Sources industry and Energy sector, PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-5.26
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.52% mean?
PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk (ISX:CUAN) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.52% as of Jun. 26, 2026.
Is PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.52%. Overall, PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk has a GF Score™ of 72/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to competitors?
PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.52% can be compared against companies in the Other Energy Sources industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Other Energy Sources company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Other Energy Sources industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.52%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk (ISX:CUAN) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is Rp3,023.66, compared to a current price of Rp625.00 — trading 79.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.52%. PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk's overall GF Score™ is 72/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk (ISX:CUAN), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.52% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk (ISX:CUAN) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of Rp625.00 is trading 79.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of Rp3,023.66.
GuruFocus considers PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk to be Possible Value Trap.
Key valuation signals for ISX:CUAN:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.52%
GF Value™: Rp3,023.66 vs. price of Rp625.00 (79.3% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ISX:CUAN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk is engaged in holding company activities and other management consulting activities. It carries out coal and gold mining business activities through subsidiary entities located in Kalimantan and West Nusa Tenggara. The company has three coal mining concessions in Kalimantan and one gold mining concession in West Nusa Tenggara, managed by its subsidiaries. The firms segment includes the mining segment, the services segment, the engineering and construction segment, and the EPCI-offshore oil and gas segment. The firm generates the majority of its revenue from the Mining segment, which covers comprehensive mining contracts including overburden stripping, drilling, blasting, lifting, hauling, mine services, mine partnering, and sales of coal.
72GF Score
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