Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Japan Airport Terminal Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Japan Airport Terminal Co (OTCPK:JTTRY) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Japan Airport Terminal Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
JTTRY vs JOBY, CAAP: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison
For the Airports & Air Services subindustry, Japan Airport Terminal Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Japan Airport Terminal Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Transportation Industry
For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Japan Airport Terminal Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Japan Airport Terminal Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Japan Airport Terminal Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-8.35
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% mean?
Japan Airport Terminal Co (JTTRY) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% as of Jun. 25, 2026.
Is Japan Airport Terminal Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Japan Airport Terminal Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Overall, Japan Airport Terminal Co has a GF Score™ of 82/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Japan Airport Terminal Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to JOBY and CAAP?
Japan Airport Terminal Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% can be compared against companies in the Transportation industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Transportation company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Japan Airport Terminal Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Japan Airport Terminal Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Japan Airport Terminal Co (JTTRY) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $17.71, compared to a current price of $13.96 — trading 21.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Japan Airport Terminal Co's overall GF Score™ is 82/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Japan Airport Terminal Co (JTTRY), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Japan Airport Terminal Co (JTTRY) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Japan Airport Terminal Co stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $13.96 is trading 21.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of $17.71.
GuruFocus considers Japan Airport Terminal Co to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for JTTRY:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02%
GF Value™: $17.71 vs. price of $13.96 (21.2% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the JTTRY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Japan Airport Terminal Co Ltd is a Japanese airport operations company. It is engaged in the management and operation of passenger terminals and the provision of related services at airports, mainly Haneda and Narita. The company has three reportable segments: Facility Management and Operation, Merchandise Sales, and Food and Beverage. The Facility Management and Operation segment provides leasing, maintenance, repairs, and terminal operations; the Merchandise Sales segment sells and wholesales products to air passengers and terminal-building companies; and the Food and Beverage segment operates airport and in-flight food services. The company focuses on improving passenger experience and operational resilience through service quality and facility upgrades.
82GF Score
Get the complete analysis for JTTRY
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
JTTRY has been successfully added to your 