KYIV (Kyivstar Group) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 50.00% (As of Jul. 29, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

KYIV Kyivstar Group Ltd KYIV
21 GF Score
Price $13.56
View Full Analysis

What is Kyivstar Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Kyivstar Group KYIV -0.70% 21 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00% as of Jul. 29, 2026. GuruFocus rates KYIV with a GF Score™ of 21/100.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Kyivstar Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Kyivstar Group  (NAS:KYIV) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Kyivstar Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


KYIV vs AD, LBTYA, TDS: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Telecom Services subindustry, Kyivstar Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kyivstar Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, Kyivstar Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kyivstar Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


KYIV
21GF Score
Kyivstar Group Ltd KYIV
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Kyivstar Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 50.00% mean?
Kyivstar Group (KYIV) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 50.00% as of Jul. 29, 2026.
Is Kyivstar Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Kyivstar Group's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%. Overall, Kyivstar Group has a GF Score™ of 21/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Kyivstar Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to AD and LBTYA?
Kyivstar Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 50.00% can be compared against companies in the Telecommunication Services industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Telecommunication Services company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Telecommunication Services industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Kyivstar Group's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Kyivstar Group stock overvalued right now?
Kyivstar Group (KYIV) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 50.00%. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%. Kyivstar Group's overall GF Score™ is 21/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Kyivstar Group (KYIV), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00% as of Jul. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Kyivstar Group Business Description

Address Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC, Unit 517, Level 5, Index Tower, Dubai, ARE
Kyivstar Group Ltd is a telecommunications and digital holding company that operates Ukraine provider of mobile communication and broadband services. The company offers a wide range of connectivity and digital services, including mobile and fixed-line voice and data, ride-hailing, e-health, digital TV, and enterprise solutions such as big data, cloud, and cybersecurity. It operates through two main segments: Telecommunications and Digital. The Telecommunications segment, which generates the majority of revenue, includes service revenue from mobile and fixed connectivity services provided to both individual and corporate customers. The Digital segment comprises revenue from proprietary digital platforms and services.
21GF Score

Get the complete analysis for KYIV

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$13.56
Price