Alternativeome REIT (LSE:AIRE) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02% (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


LSE:AIRE Alternative Income REIT PLC LSE:AIRE
43 GF Score
Price £0.69
GF Value £1.37
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Alternativeome REIT Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Alternativeome REIT LSE:AIRE 43 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates LSE:AIRE with a GF Score™ of 43/100 and a GF Value™ of £1.37 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Alternativeome REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Alternativeome REIT  (LSE:AIRE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Alternativeome REIT Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

LSE:AIRE vs VICI, WPC: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the REIT - Diversified subindustry, Alternativeome REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Alternativeome REIT Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Alternativeome REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alternativeome REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


LSE:AIRE
43GF Score
Alternative Income REIT PLC LSE:AIRE
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Alternativeome REIT Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.75

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=(Balance Sheet Cash And Cash Equivalents + Money Market Investments) / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% mean?
Alternativeome REIT (LSE:AIRE) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% as of Jun. 25, 2026.
Is Alternativeome REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Alternativeome REIT's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Overall, Alternativeome REIT has a GF Score™ of 43/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alternativeome REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to VICI and WPC?
Alternativeome REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% can be compared against companies in the REITs industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a REITs company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the REITs industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Alternativeome REIT's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alternativeome REIT stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alternativeome REIT (LSE:AIRE) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is £1.37, compared to a current price of £0.69 — trading 49.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Alternativeome REIT's overall GF Score™ is 43/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alternativeome REIT (LSE:AIRE), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Alternativeome REIT (LSE:AIRE) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alternativeome REIT stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of £0.69 is trading 49.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of £1.37. GuruFocus considers Alternativeome REIT to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for LSE:AIRE:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02%
  • GF Value™: £1.37 vs. price of £0.69 (49.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 43/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the LSE:AIRE stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Alternativeome REIT Business Description

Industry Real EstateREITs
Address 52 Lime Street, The Scalpel 18th Floor, London, GBR, EC3M 7AF
Alternative Income REIT PLC is a United Kingdom-based real estate investment trust focused on generating secure, diversified, and inflation-linked income returns while maintaining capital values through investments in UK properties. Its portfolio concentrates on alternative and specialist real estate sectors such as leisure, hotels, healthcare, education, logistics, automotive, supported living, and student accommodation. The company acquires freehold and long leasehold properties across the UK, emphasizing long leases and inflation-linked rent reviews to ensure income stability. Revenue is generated through rental income from a broad range of commercial properties with long-term leases to various tenants, supporting steady cash flow from its diversified portfolio.
43GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LSE:AIRE

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

£0.69
Price
£1.37
GF Value