Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Wynnstay Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Wynnstay Group (LSE:WYN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Wynnstay Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
LSE:WYN vs CTVA, CF, MOS: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison
For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, Wynnstay Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Wynnstay Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Agriculture Industry
For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, Wynnstay Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Wynnstay Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Wynnstay Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-8.15
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% mean?
Wynnstay Group (LSE:WYN) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% as of Jun. 26, 2026.
Is Wynnstay Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Wynnstay Group's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Overall, Wynnstay Group has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Wynnstay Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to CTVA and CF?
Wynnstay Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% can be compared against companies in the Agriculture industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Agriculture company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Agriculture industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Wynnstay Group's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Wynnstay Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Wynnstay Group (LSE:WYN) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is £3.06, compared to a current price of £3.40 — trading 11.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Wynnstay Group's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Wynnstay Group (LSE:WYN), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Wynnstay Group (LSE:WYN) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Wynnstay Group stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of £3.40 is trading 11.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of £3.06.
GuruFocus considers Wynnstay Group to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for LSE:WYN:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.03%
GF Value™: £3.06 vs. price of £3.40 (11.1% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the LSE:WYN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Wynnstay Group PLC is a provider of agricultural supplies and services to farmers and rural communities in the United Kingdom. The company operates in three business segments: Feed and Grain, Arable, and Stores. The majority of its revenue is generated from the Feed and Grain segment, which manufactures and supplies a wide range of feeds and animal nutrition products for a range of sectors. It also sells a range of feed raw materials through both the Wynnstay and Glasson Grain brands, and offers grain and combinable crop marketing services through the GrainLink business. The Arable segment manufactures blended fertiliser and offers services and products to arable and grassland farmers, and the Stores segment caters to the needs of farmers and rural dwellers.
70GF Score
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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