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LUNR (Intuitive Machines) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is Intuitive Machines Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Intuitive Machines's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Intuitive Machines's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Intuitive Machines's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Intuitive Machines's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Intuitive Machines's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Intuitive Machines's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Intuitive Machines Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.84

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Intuitive Machines  (NAS:LUNR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Intuitive Machines Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Intuitive Machines Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
13467 Columbia Shuttle Street, Houston, TX, USA, 77059
Intuitive Machines Inc is a space exploration, infrastructure, and services company. It is a diversified space company focused on space exploration. It supplies space products and services to support sustained robotic and human exploration to the Moon, Mars, and beyond. Its products and services are offered through its four business units: Lunar Access Services, Orbital Services, Lunar Data Services, and Space Products and Infrastructure.
Executives
Kamal Seyed Ghaffarian director, 10 percent owner, officer: Executive Chairman C/O INTUITIVE MACHINES, 3700 BAY AREA BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77058
Stephen J Altemus director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O INTUITIVE MACHINES, 3700 BAY AREA BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77058
Crain Timothy Price Ii 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Technology Officer C/O INTUITIVE MACHINES, 3700 BAY AREA BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77058
Michael Blitzer director, 10 percent owner, officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer 1270 BROADWAY, SUITE 1009, NEW YORK NY 10001
Steven Vontur officer: Corporate Controller C/O INTUITIVE MACHINES, 3700 BAY AREA BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77058
Guy Shanon director, 10 percent owner, officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer 1270 BROADWAY, SUITE 1009, NEW YORK NY 10001
Nicole Seligman director C/O VIACOM INC., 1515 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Anna Chiara Jones officer: GC & Corporate Secretary C/O INTUITIVE MACHINES, 3700 BAY AREA BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77058
Masson Robert L. Ii director 787 WATERVLIET SHAKER ROAD, LATHAM NY 12110
Gm Enterprises, Llc 10 percent owner 801 THOMPSON AVENUE, ROCKVILLE MD 20852
Intuitive Machines Kg Parent, Llc 10 percent owner 801 THOMPSON AVENUE, ROCKVILLE MD 20852
Ghaffarian Enterprises, Llc 10 percent owner 801 THOMPSON AVENUE, ROCKVILLE MD 20852
Liquori William John Jr director C/O INTUITIVE MACHINES, 3700 BAY AREA BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77058
Sallee Erik Robinson Worley officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O INTUITIVE MACHINES, 3700 BAY AREA BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77058
Hgc Investment Management Inc. 10 percent owner 1073 YONGE ST, 2ND FLOOR, TORONTO A6 M4W 2L2